随机扰动在离散的捕食者-猎物模型的动态可变性中的作用:一个随机灵敏度分析
Irina Bashkirtseva1, Lev Ryashko2
1Ural Federal University, Lenina, 51, Ekaterinburg, Russia, 620000.
Journal of mathematical biology
|April 21, 2025
概括
随机波动可以推动人口动态在持久性和灭绝之间. 捕食者生长率的随机变化缩小了猎物和捕食者的生存区域,揭示了关键的灭绝机制.
科学领域:
- 数学生物学 数学生物学
- 生态生态学 生态生态学
- 非线性动力学是一种非线性动力学.
背景情况:
- 非线性人口模型,如猎物-掠食者系统,表现出复杂的行为,包括混乱和 bistability.
- 了解外部随机因素 (随机性) 如何影响这些动态对于生态预测至关重要.
研究的目的:
- 以数学分析因随机性诱导的非线性人口动态中的定性变化.
- 调查人口持久性和灭绝制度之间的噪音诱导的过渡.
- 为了确定吸引子的几何和混乱的瞬态在噪声引起的灭绝中的作用.
主要方法:
- 利用一个离散的猎物-掠食者模型与霍林格II型功能响应.
- 采用随机灵敏度技术和信心域方法进行参数分析.
- 检查了噪音诱导的场景,包括持续和灭绝之间的过渡.
主要成果:
- 证明了吸引盆地的几何和混乱的瞬态在噪音诱导的灭绝中起着关键作用.
- 展示了捕食者生长率参数随机波动如何为猎物和捕食者合同持久性区域.
- 介绍了一种新的数学方法来阐明噪音诱导现象的内在机制.
结论:
- 随机性显著影响人口动态,可能导致灭绝.
- 这项研究为了解生态系统中的噪声诱导效应提供了一个新的数学框架.
- 这些发现凸显了人群对随机参数变化的脆弱性.
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