在流行病后的时代,在紧急住院患者中建立下肢深静脉血栓的预测模型
Xiaodong Xia1, Lei Hua2, Yongqiang Zhang3
1Department of Emergency Medicine, Tianjin Medical University General Hospital, Tianjin, China.
Frontiers in surgery
|April 22, 2025
概括
下肢深静脉血栓症 (LEDVT) 的发生率在流行病后的紧急住院患者中增加. 年龄,吸烟,饮酒和糖化血红蛋白是LEDVT的关键危险因素.
科学领域:
- 医学研究 医学研究
- 血管医学 血管医学
- 流行病学 流行病学
背景情况:
- 后疫情时代在医疗保健领域带来了独特的挑战,可能会影响患者的治疗结果.
- 深静脉血栓 (DVT) 仍然是一个重大问题,特别是在住院患者中.
- 了解下肢深静脉血栓瘤 (LEDVT) 的不断变化的风险因素对于有效的患者管理至关重要.
研究的目的:
- 分析与LEDVT相关的风险因素,在疫情后期的紧急住院患者.
- 开发和验证用于识别高风险LEDVT患者的预测模型.
- 为了比较流行病和后流行病阶段之间的LEDVT发病率.
主要方法:
- 从2022年6月到2023年6月的紧急住院患者的回顾性分析,分为流行病和后流行病组.
- 基线特征,实验室结果和LE超声波发现的比较.
- 多变量物流回归和ROC曲线分析,以建立和评估LEDVT的预测模型.
主要成果:
- 疫情后组的LEDVT发病率明显高 (33.2%) 与疫情后组 (26.8%) 相比.
- 鉴定出LEDVT的独立危险因素包括晚年,吸烟史,饮酒史和高血糖化血红蛋白 (HbA1c).
- 开发了一个预测模型,ROC曲线下的面积为0.718.
结论:
- 在紧急住院患者中LEDVT的发生率在后疫情时代增加了.
- 年龄,吸烟,饮酒习惯和HbA1c是发展LEDVT的重要危险因素.
- 建立的预测模型有助于识别针对性干预的高风险个体.
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