乌克兰战争爆发对欧洲绿色偏好的影响
Enrico Angelo Raffaele D'Ecclesiis1, Eugenio Levi2, Fabrizio Patriarca3
1Department of Economics, University of Modena and Reggio Emilia, Via Jacopo Berengario, 51, 41121, Modena, Italy. enricoangeloraffaele.decclesiis@unimore.it.
Ambio
|April 22, 2025
概括
乌克兰战争对欧洲的环保态度产生了负面影响,减少了对绿色政党和气候变化问题的支持. 能源价格上和战争的显著性部分解释了这一转变.
科学领域:
- 环境心理学 环境心理学
- 政治科学 政治科学是指政治学.
- 社会学 社会学 社会学
背景情况:
- 2022年2月乌克兰战争爆发带来了重大的地缘政治和经济冲击.
- 了解公众对环境问题的态度对于有效的气候政策至关重要.
研究的目的:
- 调查乌克兰战争对欧洲亲环保态度的因果关系.
- 确定环境关注中观察到的变化的潜在调解因素.
主要方法:
- 利用欧洲社会调查 (ESS) 的2021-2022年浪潮.
- 采用一种自然实验设计,比较战争爆发前后调查的个人.
- 分析了九个欧洲国家的亲环保政党的政治偏好和自我报告的气候变化担忧的变化.
主要成果:
- 从战后开始,观察到亲环保态度的统计显著下降.
- 这种下降明显表现在对绿党的政治支持减少.
- 在战争爆发后,对气候变化的担忧也减少了.
结论:
- 乌克兰战争对欧洲公众的环保态度产生了不利影响.
- 搜索趋势表明,能源价格上和战争显著增加,部分解释了观察到的下降.
- 调查结果强调了环境态度对地缘政治危机和经济压力的脆弱性.
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