1990~2021年空气污染导致的糖尿病负担及未来趋势:一个基于人口的研究
Qingsong Mao1, Xiaoyi Zhu2, Xinyi Zhang3
1Hepatobiliary Pancreatic Surgery, Banan Hospital Affiliated of Chongqing Medical University, Chongqing, China.
空气污染对全球糖尿病负担作出了重大贡献,每年造成数十万人的死亡. 未来的预测表明,某些地区的死亡率正在上升,这凸显了针对性干预的必要性.
科学领域:
- 环境健康 环境健康
- 流行病学 流行病学
- 公共卫生 公共卫生
背景情况:
- 使用2021年全球疾病负担研究数据调查空气污染对糖尿病负担的全球影响.
- 分析了全球,区域和国家层面的空气污染导致的糖尿病负担.
研究的目的:
- 量化目前与空气污染相关的糖尿病负担.
- 检查这种负担的人口和社会经济变化.
- 预测未来由于空气污染而导致的糖尿病负担的趋势.
主要方法:
- 利用了2021年全球疾病负担研究的数据.
- 分析了根据年龄,性别和社会人口指数 (SDI) 的变化.
- 采用ARIMA模型来预测到2050年的未来发病率.
主要成果:
- 在2021年,空气污染造成了281,910人死亡,12.9亿人因糖尿病死亡.
- 这种负担在60岁以上的个人和男性中最高.
- 预测表明,到2050年,SDI中等水平较低的地区和俄罗斯和墨西哥等特定国家的死亡率将上升.
结论:
- 空气污染是全球糖尿病负担的一个重要驱动因素.
- 调查结果强调了预防糖尿病和减轻空气污染的综合战略的必要性.
- 针对性干预对于高风险人群和地区至关重要.
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