相关实验视频
Updated: May 12, 2025

06:48
The HoneyComb Paradigm for Research on Collective Human Behavior
Published on: January 19, 2019
9.3K
混合个人和集体行为来预测非常规的移动性
Sebastiano Bontorin1,2, Simone Centellegher1, Riccardo Gallotti3
1Mobile and Social Computing Lab, Bruno Kessler Foundation, Povo 38123, TN, Italy.
概括
这项研究通过整合个人和集体的移动行为来增强人类流离失所预测,提高了非常规移动的准确性. 这种新的方法在流行病等破坏期间保持了预测能力.
科学领域:
- 流动性研究 流动性研究
- 城市规划是城市规划.
- 计算社会科学 计算社会科学
背景情况:
- 预测人类流离失所对于城市设计,交通管理和疫情控制至关重要.
- 现有的模型往往无法准确预测人类非例行活动.
- 个人移动模式与新出现的集体行为作斗争.
研究的目的:
- 通过动态整合个人和集体流动模式,开发一种用于预测人类流离失所的新方法.
- 提高流动性预测的准确性,特别是在非常规行为方面.
- 在破坏性事件期间提高预测模型的稳定性.
主要方法:
- 开发了一个模型,可以动态整合个人和集体的移动行为.
- 利用集体智能来提高预测准确度.
- 在美国五个城市的数以百万计的隐私保护轨迹上评估了该模型.
主要成果:
- 拟议的模型在预测非常规流动性方面明显优于先进的深度学习方法.
- 模型的有效性在城市地区具有较高的兴趣点密度,集体行为占主导地位.
- 该模型在COVID-19大流行期间展示了持续的预测能力,与基于个人的模型不同.
结论:
- 整合个人和集体的移动行为提供了更透明和更准确的预测人类流离失所.
- 这种方法增强了对城市环境中的移动性挑战的理解和管理.
- 该模型提供了一个强大的框架,用于预测在正常和破坏性条件下的流动性.
相关概念视频
Mechanistic Models: Compartment Models in Individual and Population Analysis
14
Mechanistic models are utilized in individual analysis using single-source data, but imperfections arise due to data collection errors, preventing perfect prediction of observed data. The mathematical equation involves known values (Xi), observed concentrations (Ci), measurement errors (εi), model parameters (ϕj), and the related function (ƒi) for i number of values. Different least-squares metrics quantify differences between predicted and observed values. The ordinary least...
14
Social Traps
22.1K
Social traps are negative situations where people get caught in a direction or relationship that later proves to be unpleasant, with no easy way to back out of or avoid. The concept was orignally introduced by John Platt who applied psychology to Garrett Hardin's "Tragedy of the Commons", where in New England herd owners could let their cattle graze in the common ground. This situation seems like a good idea, but an individual could have an advantage. If they owned...
22.1K
Naturalistic Observations
15.3K
If you want to understand how behavior occurs, one of the best ways to gain information is to simply observe the behavior in its natural context. However, people might change their behavior in unexpected ways if they know they are being observed. How do researchers obtain accurate information when people tend to hide their natural behavior? As an example, imagine that your professor asks everyone in your class to raise their hand if they always wash their hands after using the restroom. Chances...
15.3K
Schemas
11.5K
A schema is a mental construct consisting of a cluster or collection of related concepts (Bartlett, 1932). There are many different types of schemata, and they all have one thing in common: schemata are a method of organizing information that allows the brain to work more efficiently. When a schema is activated, the brain makes immediate assumptions about the person or object being observed.
11.5K
Social Loafing
34.4K
Another way in which a group presence can affect performance is social loafing—the exertion of less effort by a person working together with a group. Social loafing occurs when our individual performance cannot be evaluated separately from the group. Thus, group performance declines on easy tasks (Karau & Williams, 1993). Essentially individual group members loaf and let other group members pick up the slack. Because each individual’s efforts cannot be evaluated,...
34.4K
Deindividuation
26.0K
Deindividuation is a form of social influence on an individual’s behavior such that the individual engages in unusual or non-normal behavior while in a group setting. Why? Because in these group settings, the individual no longer sees themselves as an individual anymore, disinhibiting their behavior and personal restraint.
26.0K

