评估影响三轮机动力瑞克沙车在工作日和周末之间发生事故结果的因素的异质性
Zia Ur Rehman1, Jiang Chaozhe2, Emmanuel Kofi Adanu3
1School of Transportation and Logistics, Southwest Jiaotong University, Chengdu, 610031, Sichuan, China.
Scientific reports
|April 24, 2025
概括
周末和周日的交通事故风险对于三轮机动力瑞克沙 (3-WMRs) 不同. 了解这些时间差异是改善3-WMR安全干预的关键.
科学领域:
- 公共卫生 公共卫生
- 运输安全运输安全
- 事故分析 事故分析
背景情况:
- 三轮机动力瑞克沙 (3-WMR) 毁在发展中国家是一个重大的公共卫生问题.
- 现有的关于3-WMR碰撞的研究往往忽视了周日对受伤严重性的影响.
- 3-WMR事故的风险因素的时间变化需要进一步调查.
研究的目的:
- 为了研究三轮机动力力拉萨车撞车事故中损伤严重程度的危险因素.
- 为了确定工作日和周末撞车之间的风险因素的时间异质性.
- 整合心理学和社会学理论,以了解3WMR机中的风险感知和寻找感觉的行为.
主要方法:
- 使用一个随机参数多项逻辑模型,具有平均值和方差的异性.
- 对巴基斯坦拉瓦尔宾迪 (2017-2022) 的交通事故数据进行实证分析.
- 检查了RESCUE 1122中的撞车数据,重点关注伤害严重程度的结果.
主要成果:
- 确定了影响3-WMR机严重伤害的统计学意义上的因素.
- 关键因素包括单车事故,十几岁的司机,雨天,高峰时间,不适当的U转,超速和司机的分心.
- 在工作日和周末撞车之间,风险因素有显著的差异.
结论:
- 这些发现强调了在3WMR碰撞风险分析中考虑时间异质性的重要性.
- 针对工作日和周末的不同政策建议对于有效的安全干预至关重要.
- 量身定制的安全策略可以通过解决特定的时间风险来改善3-WMR用户的结果.
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