碳巨头和气候责任的科学案例
Christopher W Callahan1,2, Justin S Mankin3,4,5,6
1Program in Ecology, Evolution, Environment and Society, Dartmouth College, Hanover, NH, USA. Christopher.W.Callahan.GR@dartmouth.edu.
Nature
|April 24, 2025
概括
现在科学证据已经明确地将化石燃料公司与气候变化造成的具体损害联系起来. 这为气候责任诉讼奠定了坚实的科学基础, 使排放者对数万亿美元的经济损失负有责任.
科学领域:
- 气候科学
- 环境法
- 经济学
背景情况:
- 起诉企业对气候造成的损害已经持续了20年.
- 建立化石燃料排放与特定气候危害之间的直接科学联系是一个关键挑战.
研究的目的:
- 提出气候责任的科学案例.
- 详细说明将化石燃料生产者与气候损害联系在一起的端到端归因的科学和法律影响.
- 为评估气候诉讼中的责任提供框架.
主要方法:
- 使用了主要化石燃料公司的范围1和3的排放数据.
- 应用同行评审的气候归因方法.
- 纳入经验气候经济学的进展,以量化经济损失.
主要成果:
- 证明了将特定公司与气候相关的经济损失联系起来的端到端归因的可行性.
- 由于各个公司的排放而造成的热量损失达到了数万亿美元 (例如,雪佛龙的损失达到了7910亿美元 - - 3.6万亿美元).
- 突出了对热带地区造成的不成比例影响.
结论:
- 现在已经建立了气候责任的科学基础.
- 终端归因是气候诉讼的可行和透明框架.
- 科学不再是气候责任诉讼的障碍.
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