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避免风险或适应风险? 在气候风险下,公众在体育参与中的选择
Qiuyue Zhang1, Long Luo2, Xiaobin Guan3
1College of Economics and Management, Beijing University of Technology, Beijing, China.
Frontiers in public health
|April 24, 2025
概括
气候风险最初会减少体育参与,但通过数字参与和室内活动导致长期适应. 了解这些行为转变是公共卫生和气候适应政策的关键.
科学领域:
- 环境健康 环境健康
- 行为科学 行为科学
- 公共卫生政策 公共卫生政策
背景情况:
- 气候风险越来越多地影响公共卫生行为,需要了解个人反应.
- 运动参与是环境冲击影响的关键健康行为.
- 适应战略对于在气候变化中保持福祉至关重要.
研究的目的:
- 检查气候风险对体育参与的短期和长期影响.
- 探索驱动行为变化的机制,以应对气候风险.
- 为有效的健康和气候适应政策提供信息.
主要方法:
- 利用了2014-2022年的中国家庭小组研究 (CFPS) 数据.
- 采用固定效应模型,两阶段最小方程 (2SLS) 和调解分析.
- 评估气候风险使用代理变量与稳定性检查.
主要成果:
- 短期气候风险显著降低了体育参与频率.
- 气候风险降低了生活满意度,增加了数字参与度,影响了健康.
- 通过增加数字参与和室内炼观察到的长期适应.
结论:
- 气候风险具有双重影响:短期抑制和长期适应体育参与.
- 个人行为调整对于气候适应和公共健康至关重要.
- 政策干预可以利用适应性行为来促进健康结果.
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