[在中国南部三个省份研究复合热极端和跌倒死亡风险之间的关联]
1Department of Preventive Medicine, School of Medicine, Jinan University, Guangzhou 510632, China.
概括
复合热极端会显著增加因跌倒而死亡的风险,尤其对妇女和老年人来说. 这些热事件的持续时间和强度与与落相关的死亡风险的增加成正比.
科学领域:
- 环境健康 环境健康
- 流行病学 流行病学
- 老年学是一门学科.
背景情况:
- 被定义为复合热极端的极端热事件,构成了日益严重的公共卫生问题.
- 了解与这些事件相关的特定风险对于有针对性的干预至关重要.
研究的目的:
- 调查复合热极端和落相关死亡风险之间的关联.
- 确定对这些环境条件敏感度较高的人口群体.
主要方法:
- 使用来自广东,湖南和江省 (2013-2018) 的数据,采用了时间分层的案例交叉设计.
- 使用带有分布式滞后非线性模型 (DLNM) 的条件后勤回归模型来分析气象数据和跌倒死亡事件.
- 跌倒死亡风险的估计与复合热极端的持续时间和强度相关.
主要成果:
- 复合的极端炎热与降落死亡风险的增加显著相关 (OR=1.19).
- 女性 (OR=1.27) 和65岁及以上的个人 (OR=1.24) 对这些极端高温条件表现出更高的敏感性.
- 随着复合热极端的持续时间 (每天12%) 和强度 (每升高1°C的16%) 来观察到跌倒死亡风险的线性增加.
结论:
- 复合热极端气体是一个重要的环境风险因素,有助于与跌倒有关的死亡率.
- 公共卫生战略应考虑妇女和老年人对极端高温事件的高度脆弱性及其对跌倒风险的影响.
相关概念视频
Global Climate Change
23.9K
Throughout its ~4.5 billion year history, the Earth has experienced periods of warming and cooling. However, the current drastic increase in global temperatures is well outside of the Earth’s cyclic norms, and evidence for human-caused global climate change is compelling. Paleoclimatology, the study of ancient climate conditions, provides ample evidence for human-caused global climate change by comparing recent conditions with those in the past.
23.9K
Homeostatic Imbalances in Body Temperature
73
Hyperthermia occurs when the body's temperature becomes unusually high, often due to heat exposure, intense physical activity, or certain illnesses. This condition can create a dangerous cycle where elevated body temperature increases the metabolic rate, generating more heat and potentially leading to organ failure and brain damage. A severe form of hyperthermia, called heat stroke, can raise body temperature to life-threatening levels. Fever, on the other hand, is a controlled form of...
73
Hazard Ratio
67
The hazard ratio (HR) is a widely used measure in clinical trials to compare the risk of events, such as death or disease recurrence, between two groups over time. It reflects the ratio of hazard rates—the instantaneous risk of the event occurring—between a treatment group and a control group. This measure provides valuable insights into the relative effectiveness of a treatment by assessing how the risk of an event differs between the two groups.
For example, in a clinical trial...
For example, in a clinical trial...
67
Hypothesis Test for Test of Independence
3.4K
The test of independence is a chi-square-based test used to determine whether two variables or factors are independent or dependent. This hypothesis test is used to examine the independence of the variables. One can construct two qualitative survey questions or experiments based on the variables in a contingency table. The goal is to see if the two variables are unrelated (independent) or related (dependent). The null and alternative hypotheses for this test are:
H0: The two variables (factors)...
H0: The two variables (factors)...
3.4K
Hazard Rate
73
The hazard rate, also known as the hazard function or failure rate, is a statistical measure used to describe the instantaneous rate at which an event occurs, given that the event has not yet happened. From a probabilistic perspective, it represents the likelihood that a subject will experience the event in a very small time interval, conditional on surviving up to the beginning of that interval. In terms of frequency, the hazard rate can be viewed as the ratio of the number of events to the...
73
Correlation
11.4K
In statistics, two variables are said to be correlated if the values of one variable are associated with the other variable. Depending on the relationship between two variables, correlation can be of three types– positive correlation, negative correlation, and zero correlation.
Two variables, for example, a and b, are said to be positively correlated if both variables move in the same direction. In other words, a positive correlation exists between two variables, a and b, if:
Two variables, for example, a and b, are said to be positively correlated if both variables move in the same direction. In other words, a positive correlation exists between two variables, a and b, if:
11.4K


