对比神经网络架构来模拟城市流域中的污染物负载和首次冲洗事件:平衡专业化和泛化
Angela Gorgoglione1, Cosimo Russo2, Andrea Gioia3
1Department of Fluid Mechanics and Environmental Engineering, Universidad de la República, 565 Ave Julio Herrera y Reissig, Montevideo, 11300, Uruguay.
Chemosphere
|April 25, 2025
概括
人工神经网络 (ANN) 有效地预测城市水质,对总悬浮固体,总和总的第一冲洗事件和污染物负载进行分类. 多输出ANN为综合水资源管理提供了更高的效率.
科学领域:
- 环境科学 环境科学
- 水资源管理 水资源管理
- 计算科学 计算科学
背景情况:
- 城市水质对公共卫生和生态系统完整性至关重要.
- 城市排水造成的污染,尤其是在第一次冲洗时,带来了重大挑战.
- 准确的预测模型对于有效的城市水资源管理策略至关重要.
研究的目的:
- 评估人工神经网络 (ANN) 模型对城市水质预测的有效性.
- 为了比较单输出,双输出和多输出前神经网络的性能,用于第一次冲洗事件分类和污染事件平均负载 (EML) 预测.
- 在预测总悬浮固体 (TSS),总 (TN) 和总 (TP) 方面评估模型专业化和泛化之间的权衡.
主要方法:
- 开发和比较单个输出,双输出和多输出feedforward神经网络模型.
- 培训和评估使用577个数据点的数据集,包括观察,模拟和生成的数据.
- 性能指标包括F1分数和分类准确性,以及Nash-Sutcliffe效率 (NSE) 用于EML预测.
主要成果:
- ANN模型表现出强大的预测能力,平均F1得分为0.70,污染物分类准确度为0.77.
- 对于EML预测的NSE平均值为TSS的0.85,TN的0.77和TP的0.83.
- 多个输出模型显著提高了训练效率 (单个输出模型时间的6.75%) 和在污染物中更好地泛化,尽管精度略有下降.
结论:
- 城市水质模型,特别是多输出配置,对于预测城市水质参数和首次冲洗事件非常有效.
- 与单个输出模型相比,多输出ANN为综合城市水质管理提供了更有效和更具适应性的解决方案.
- 这些发现支持机器学习的应用,以提高城市水系统的监管合规性和环境可持续性.
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