与摩洛哥半干旱地区的作物模式变化相关的权衡
Imane El Fartassi1, Alice E Milne2, Bader Oulaid1
1Net Zero Resilient Farming, Rothamsted Research, Harpenden, Hertfordshire AL5 2JQ, UK; Cranfield University, Cranfield, Bedfordshire MK43 OAL, UK; Mohammed IV Polytechnic University, Benguerir, Morocco.
The Science of the total environment
|April 25, 2025
概括
本研究提出了农业决策的模型框架,将作物选择和灌整合在一起. 橄种植捕获碳,但降低了利能力,滴灌则提高了利和水效率,突出了可持续农业的权衡.
科学领域:
- 农业科学 农业科学
- 环境建模环境建模
- 可持续的土地管理
背景情况:
- 土地使用和管理决策对农业可持续性产生重大影响.
- 评估作物选择,灌和环境结果之间的权衡对半干旱地区至关重要.
研究的目的:
- 开发和应用基于模型的框架来评估土地使用和管理场景.
- 支持在摩洛哥农业中关于作物选择和灌的决策.
主要方法:
- 综合数据和模型,包括IPCC,Rothamsted和Cornel的环境影响系数.
- 利用蒙特卡洛模拟来量化不确定性,并使用阴影数组进行通信.
- 参数化了摩洛哥一个灌,半干旱地区的框架.
主要成果:
- 橄生产增加了碳捕获,减少了用水量,但降低了利能力和可食用卡路里.
- 多样化的系统显示,农药使用的危害较小,而橄种植的农药影响较高.
- 滴灌改善了利,用水效率和泄漏,但对其他指标没有重大影响.
结论:
- 基于模型的框架是政策制定者探索决策结果和最大限度地减少意想不到的后果的宝贵工具.
- 农业用地决定涉及生产,利能力和环境影响之间的明确权衡.
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