相关实验视频
Updated: May 10, 2025

06:42
Magnetically Induced Rotating Rayleigh-Taylor Instability
Published on: March 3, 2017
9.4K
通过不可逆转性分析揭示的金融时间序列的不稳定性
Youping Fan1, Yutong Yang1, Zhen Wang1
1School of Mathematics and Information Sciences, Yantai University, Yantai 264005, China.
Entropy (Basel, Switzerland)
|April 26, 2025
概括
使用Kullback-Leibler分歧 (KLD) 和滑动窗口的新方法有效地检测时间序列数据中的金融不稳定性. 与传统指标相比,这种方法提供了优越的异常检测.
科学领域:
- 量化金融 量化金融
- 复杂系统分析 复杂系统分析
- 时间序列分析时间序列分析
背景情况:
- 2008年全球经济危机加剧了对强有力的金融不稳定性检测的需求.
- 时间序列分析是理解金融市场动态的一个关键工具.
- 现有的方法往往难以捕捉复杂的时间模式和异常.
研究的目的:
- 引入一种新的时间序列分析方法来检测金融不稳定性.
- 为了评估Kullback-Leibler分歧 (KLD) 度量与滑动窗技术相结合的有效性.
- 为了证明该方法的优越性比传统的方法.
主要方法:
- 分析了全球金融时间序列 (2004-2022年).
- 数据通过定向水平可见度图 (DHVG) 算法转化为回报率序列和复杂网络.
- 使用移动窗口方法应用了库尔巴克-莱布勒分歧 (KLD) 度量.
主要成果:
- 该方法成功地确定了特定的金融市场事件,并将其与经济事件相关联.
- 追溯分析和实时监测证实了该方法的有效性.
- 在捕获顺序信息和检测异常方面,KLD的表现优于传统的指标和计量方法.
结论:
- 拟议的基于KLD的滑动窗口方法是检测金融不稳定的强大工具.
- 与传统的统计和计量经济学模型相比,这种技术提供了增强的异常检测能力.
- 该方法的多功能性使其能够在金融市场以外的其他时间序列数据中应用.
相关概念视频
Stability
65
The time response of a linear time-invariant (LTI) system can be divided into transient and steady-state responses. The transient response represents the system's initial reaction to a change in input and diminishes to zero over time. In contrast, the steady-state response is the behavior that persists after the transient effects have faded.
The stability of an LTI system is determined by the roots of its characteristic equation, known as poles. A system is stable if it produces a bounded...
The stability of an LTI system is determined by the roots of its characteristic equation, known as poles. A system is stable if it produces a bounded...
65
BIBO stability of continuous and discrete -time systems
294
System stability is a fundamental concept in signal processing, often assessed using convolution. For a system to be considered bounded-input bounded-output (BIBO) stable, any bounded input signal must produce a bounded output signal. A bounded input signal is one where the modulus does not exceed a certain constant at any point in time.
To determine the BIBO stability, the convolution integral is utilized when a bounded continuous-time input is applied to a Linear Time-Invariant (LTI) system....
To determine the BIBO stability, the convolution integral is utilized when a bounded continuous-time input is applied to a Linear Time-Invariant (LTI) system....
294
Reversible and Irreversible Processes
4.0K
The thermodynamic processes can be classified into reversible and irreversible processes. The processes that can be restored to their initial state are called reversible processes. It is only possible if the process is in quasi-static equilibrium, i.e., it takes place in infinitesimally small steps, and the system remains at equilibrium However, these are ideal processes and do not occur naturally. An ideal system undergoing a reversible process is always in thermodynamic equilibrium within...
4.0K
Pole and System Stability
213
The transfer function is a fundamental concept representing the ratio of two polynomials. The numerator and denominator encapsulate the system's dynamics. The zeros and poles of this transfer function are critical in determining the system's behavior and stability.
Simple poles are unique roots of the denominator polynomial. Each simple pole corresponds to a distinct solution to the system's characteristic equation, typically resulting in exponential decay terms in the system's...
Simple poles are unique roots of the denominator polynomial. Each simple pole corresponds to a distinct solution to the system's characteristic equation, typically resulting in exponential decay terms in the system's...
213
Multimachine Stability
101
Multimachine stability analysis is crucial for understanding the dynamics and stability of power systems with multiple synchronous machines. The objective is to solve the swing equations for a network of M machines connected to an N-bus power system.
In analyzing the system, the nodal equations represent the relationship between bus voltages, machine voltages, and machine currents. The nodal equation is given by:
In analyzing the system, the nodal equations represent the relationship between bus voltages, machine voltages, and machine currents. The nodal equation is given by:
101
Routh-Hurwitz Criterion II
157
In the application of the Routh-Hurwitz criterion, two specific scenarios can arise that complicate stability analysis.
The first scenario occurs when a singular zero appears in the first column of the Routh table. This situation creates a division by zero issues. To resolve this, a small positive or negative number, denoted as epsilon (∈), is substituted for the zero. The stability analysis proceeds by assuming a sign for ∈. If ∈ is positive, any sign change in the first...
The first scenario occurs when a singular zero appears in the first column of the Routh table. This situation creates a division by zero issues. To resolve this, a small positive or negative number, denoted as epsilon (∈), is substituted for the zero. The stability analysis proceeds by assuming a sign for ∈. If ∈ is positive, any sign change in the first...
157

