永远不要告诉我赔率:典型的回归玩家信息增加了徒的获胜机会
Leonardo Weiss-Cohen1, Madison Palmer2, Jamie Torrance3
1School of Psychology, University of Nottingham, UK.
Addictive behaviors
|April 26, 2025
概括
徒认为,与没有信息相比,在典型的90%返回玩家 (RTP) 消息中获胜的机会更高. 然而,房子边缘 (HE) 消息优于RTP,尽管这两种信息都没有改善.
科学领域:
- 行为经济学是一种行为经济学.
- 博心理学 博心理学
背景情况:
- 徒们经常误解玩家回报率 (RTP) 的百分比.
- 之前的研究表明,RTP信息可以膨胀感知到的获胜机会.
研究的目的:
- 通过实验评估行业平均RTP (90%) 和房子边缘 (HE) 信息对徒感知中奖机会的影响.
- 为了比较RTP,HE和无信息消息在告知徒方面的有效性.
主要方法:
- 两项跨国研究 (英国,美国) 涉及来自Prolific.com的6062名老虎机玩家.
- 参与者看到了一个RTP消息 (90%),两个HE消息 (10%的成本),或者没有信息.
- 在一个新的老虎机中获胜的感知机会被评价.
主要成果:
- 与没有信息相比,90%的RTP信息显著增加了感知获胜的机会 (大效果大小).
- 这两个HE消息显著超过了RTP消息.
- 无论是HE还是RTP消息都不胜过没有信息;HE消息也不胜过没有信息.
结论:
- 即使是行业平均水平的RTP信息,也会产生增加赢得机会的不良副作用.
- 房子边缘消息优于RTP消息来告知徒,但这两者都不比没有信息更好.
- 需要更有效的方法来真正通知徒他们的赔率.
更多相关视频
13:04Measuring the Subjective Value of Risky and Ambiguous Options using Experimental Economics and Functional MRI Methods
Published on: September 19, 2012
12.0K
08:05A Prediction Error-driven Retrieval Procedure for Destabilizing and Rewriting Maladaptive Reward Memories in Hazardous Drinkers
Published on: January 5, 2018
9.7K
相关概念视频
Regression Toward the Mean
6.3K
Regression toward the mean (“RTM”) is a phenomenon in which extremely high or low values—for example, and individual’s blood pressure at a particular moment—appear closer to a group’s average upon remeasuring. Although this statistical peculiarity is the result of random error and chance, it has been problematic across various medical, scientific, financial and psychological applications. In particular, RTM, if not taken into account, can interfere when...
6.3K
Bias
3.7K
Bias refers to any tendency that prevents a question from being considered unprejudiced. In research, bias occurs when one outcome or answer is selected or encouraged over others in sampling or testing. Bias can occur during any research phase, including study design, data collection, analysis, and publication.
In statistics, a sampling bias is created when a sample is collected from a population, and some members of the population are not as likely to be chosen as others (remember, each member...
In statistics, a sampling bias is created when a sample is collected from a population, and some members of the population are not as likely to be chosen as others (remember, each member...
3.7K
Types of Biopharmaceutical Studies: Controlled and Non-Controlled Approaches
111
Biopharmaceutical studies constitute a vital field aiming to enhance drug delivery methods and refine therapeutic approaches, drawing upon diverse interdisciplinary knowledge. In research methodologies, the choice between controlled and non-controlled studies significantly influences the study's reliability and accuracy.
Non-controlled studies, commonly employed for initial exploration, lack a control group, rendering them susceptible to biases and external influences. In contrast,...
Non-controlled studies, commonly employed for initial exploration, lack a control group, rendering them susceptible to biases and external influences. In contrast,...
111
Social Facilitation
31.7K
Not all intergroup interactions lead to negative outcomes. Sometimes, being in a group situation can improve performance. Social facilitation occurs when an individual performs better when an audience is watching than when the individual performs the behavior alone. This typically occurs when people are performing a task for which they are skilled.
31.7K
Hindsight Biases
3.4K
Hindsight bias leads you to believe that the event you just experienced was predictable, even though it really wasn’t. In other words, you knew all along that things would turn out the way they did. Can you relate this to the phrase "Hindsight is 20/20" now?
3.4K
Testing a Claim about Population Proportion
3.3K
A complete procedure for testing a claim about a population proportion is provided here.
There are two methods of testing a claim about a population proportion: (1) Using the sample proportion from the data where a binomial distribution is approximated to the normal distribution and (2) Using the binomial probabilities calculated from the data.
The first method uses normal distribution as an approximation to the binomial distribution. The requirements are as follows: sample size is large...
There are two methods of testing a claim about a population proportion: (1) Using the sample proportion from the data where a binomial distribution is approximated to the normal distribution and (2) Using the binomial probabilities calculated from the data.
The first method uses normal distribution as an approximation to the binomial distribution. The requirements are as follows: sample size is large...
3.3K
