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解开人类和动态对近期海洋变暖的贡献
Jiheun Lee1,2, Rémi Tailleux1, Till Kuhlbrodt1,2
1Department of Meteorology, University of Reading, Reading, UK.
概括
海洋变暖是由人类引起的热量增长和自然热量再分配驱动的. 一个新的框架将它们分开,将人类的变暖确定为一个关键的海洋指纹,并将热量吸收与海平面上升联系起来.
科学领域:
- 海洋学 海洋学 海洋学
- 气候科学 气候科学
- 地球系统科学 地球系统科学
背景情况:
- 海洋吸收超过90%的过剩辐射热量,使其对了解全球变暖至关重要.
- 海洋变暖受到直接热吸收和内部热再分配过程的影响.
研究的目的:
- 引入一种新的框架来分解海洋温度变化.
- 要区分人为的表面热量增长和动态热量再分配.
- 为了将海洋热量吸收与海平面变化联系起来.
主要方法:
- 温度变化的分解成"香料"和"重量"组件.
- 进一步将"heave"分为"被动" (净变暖) 和"动态" (再分配) 的贡献.
- 对观测和气候模型的分析,以验证框架.
主要成果:
- 被动升降准确地代表了沿同位素cnals.subducted的人为变暖.
- 被动浮动被确定为人类气候变化的关键海洋指纹.
- 动态提升显示了显著的空间异质性和模型和观测之间的差异.
结论:
- 新的框架成功地将人为变暖与动态热量再分配区分开来.
- 被动浮动是人类引起的海洋变暖的可靠指标,并推动全球热性海平面上升.
- 动态浮动有助于区域海平面变化,并突出显示模型和观测差异.
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