数字包容性金融透率和家庭债务到期结构:基于中国家庭小组研究数据的实证估计
1College of Economics and Management, Shanghai Ocean University & Institute of Higher Education, Tongji University, Shanghai, China.
PloS one
|April 29, 2025
概括
数字包容性融资促进了家庭的长期债务,延长了债务到期期. 这种金融包容趋势有利于高收入,高支出和低资产的家庭,特别是在中国中部和西部.
科学领域:
- 经济学 经济学 经济学
- 金融 金融 金融 金融 金融
- 数字金融数字金融
背景情况:
- 家庭债务到期期限结构对于金融稳定至关重要.
- 数字包容性金融在中国迅速扩大.
- 了解数字金融对家庭债务的影响至关重要.
研究的目的:
- 分析数字包容性金融透对家庭债务到期结构的影响.
- 为了确定不同类型的家庭和不同地区的异质效应.
- 探索驱动这些影响的传播机制.
主要方法:
- 来自北京大学数字包容性金融指数和中国家庭小组研究 (CFPS) 的匹配数据.
- 计量经济学分析以评估影响和异质性.
- 分析机制以确定传输道.
主要成果:
- 数字包容性金融的更广泛透大大增加了家庭的长期债务.
- 这导致了家庭债务的期限结构的长期趋势.
- 对于高收入,高消费,低资产,不受约束的家庭以及房价高的西部/中部地区的家庭,这种影响更为明显.
结论:
- 数字包容性金融对家庭债务到期期产生积极影响.
- 关键的传播道包括信贷流动性限制,家庭心理会计和传统的银行竞争.
- 政策应考虑家庭债务的规模和到期结构,以减轻金融风险.
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