通过使用多标准决策框架,评估适应气候变化的沿海弹性战略
Meng Teng1, Fuli Zhang1, Zhi Gong1
1School of Computer Science and Engineering, Hunan University of Information Technology, Changsha 410151, China.
Marine pollution bulletin
|May 1, 2025
概括
这项研究提出了优先考虑沿海适应战略的新框架,发现红树林恢复是最有效的选择. 该方法平衡了气候适应性的环境,经济和社会因素.
科学领域:
- 环境科学 环境科学
- 适应气候变化 适应气候变化
- 沿海地区的管理
背景情况:
- 沿海地区面临越来越多的气候变化挑战,需要强有力的适应战略.
- 选择最佳策略需要平衡复杂的生态,经济和社会因素.
- 现有的方法可能无法充分捕捉沿海适应规划的多方面的性质.
研究的目的:
- 引入基于分析层次过程 (AHP) 的多标准决策 (MCDM) 框架来评估沿海适应战略.
- 系统地整合经验证据和专家判断,以便做出明智的决策.
- 根据关键绩效标准,优先考虑适应战略.
主要方法:
- 基于AHP的MCDM框架的开发.
- 整合了来自20位领域专家的投入.
- 基于环境影响,成本效益,社会接受度和长期可持续性的适应战略的评估.
主要成果:
- 红树林恢复被确定为最优先的战略,得分为0.70.
- 环境影响 (0.533) 成为最重要的标准,其次是成本效益 (0.255).
- 该框架在环境,社会和可持续性方面展示了红树林恢复的卓越表现.
结论:
- 拟议的AHP-MCDM框架为评估沿海适应战略提供了一种透明和可复制的方法.
- 红树林恢复是提高沿海性和实现可持续发展目标的高效战略.
- 该方法通过评估各种标准之间的权衡来支持知情的,特定于背景的规划.
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