参与式建模与非洲猪瘟相遇 - - 系统思维在行动中
Lisa Rogoll1, Katja Schulz2, Jana Schulz2
1Institute of Epidemiology, Friedrich-Loeffler-Institut, Federal Research Institute for Animal Health, Südufer 10, 17493, Greifswald - Insel Riems, Germany. lisa.rogoll@fli.de.
BMC veterinary research
|May 2, 2025
概括
在野猪中对非洲猪瘟 (ASF) 的控制是复杂的,需要利益相关者的综合洞察力,以实现有效,可持续的管理. 合作方法和透明的沟通对于成功的疾病缓解和准备工作至关重要.
科学领域:
- 兽医流行病学 兽医流行病学
- 野生动物疾病生态学 野生动物疾病生态学
- 系统科学 系统科学
背景情况:
- 非洲猪瘟 (ASF) 继续在欧洲蔓延,主要是通过野猪种群.
- 传染给家养猪会造成严重的社会经济损失.
- 在野猪中控制ASF是复杂的,涉及多个社会部门.
研究的目的:
- 了解在ASF控制中利益相关者的挑战.
- 确定有效干预的杆点.
- 应用一个多学科的系统思维方法.
主要方法:
- 在德国举办的参与式建模研讨会.
- 来自不同部门 (公共部门,林业,保护,农业,食品工业) 的利益相关者参与其中.
- 为可视化系统互连而开发的因果循环图 (CLD).
主要成果:
- 强调透明的沟通和公众对ASF反应的认识.
- 识别了260个循环 (131个平衡,129个加强) 的系统复杂性.
- 强调早期资源准备的必要性,对控制措施有效性的担忧,以及跨地区的流程标准化.
结论:
- 整合利益相关者的见解对于有效和可持续的ASF控制措施至关重要.
- 系统的复杂性需要适应性,协作式的管理方法.
- 跨学科的研究为未受影响地区提供了洞察力,为ASF疫情做好准备.
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