在政策决策中存在偏见和偏差.
Michaéla C Schippers1, Kasper P Kepp2,3, John P A Ioannidis3,4
1Department of Organisation and Personnel Management, Erasmus University Rotterdam, Rotterdam, the Netherlands.
European journal of clinical investigation
|May 3, 2025
概括
政策决策往往缺乏科学严格性,因为在证据感知和干预有效性方面的认知偏见. 消除偏差的策略可以提高决策质量和公众对机构的信任.
科学领域:
- 公共卫生 公共卫生
- 政策科学 政策科学 政策科学
- 认知心理学 认知心理学
背景情况:
- 有效的政策决策依赖于严格的科学证据和最小的偏见.
- 邪恶的问题和危机凸显了利用科学证据来制定政策的挑战.
- 政策制定者经常表现出偏见,导致不理想的决策和无效的做法.
研究的目的:
- 识别和映射影响政策决策的关键偏见.
- 分析科学证据,政策制定者和公民之间的偏见.
- 探索潜在的退化流程和工具,以改善政策成果.
主要方法:
- 与风险感知 (最小化/最大化) 和干预有效性 (最小化/最大化) 相关的映射偏差.
- 分类常见的认知偏见,如正常偏见,鸟效应和行动偏见.
- 审查退化策略及其潜在应用.
主要成果:
- 偏见表现在科学证据如何被感知以及如何评估干预有效性.
- 确定的偏见包括危机否认,道德恐慌,反医学情绪和游说.
- 常态偏见,鸟效应和死亡螺旋效应等认知偏见很普遍.
结论:
- 解决政策制定中的认知偏见对于提高决策质量至关重要.
- 消除偏见可以改善政策的实施,并促进对制度的更大信任.
- 减轻偏见既有利于科学诚信,也有利于社会福祉.
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