在木材生产系统中发生野火的全球风险
Christopher G Bousfield1,2, Oscar Morton3,4, David B Lindenmayer5
1Department of Plant Sciences and Centre for Global Wood Security, University of Cambridge, Cambridge, UK. cgb48@cam.ac.uk.
Nature communications
|May 6, 2025
概括
对于全球木材供应至关重要的木材种植园面临着更高的野火风险,特别是在温带地区. 保护这些森林对于木材安全至关重要.
科学领域:
- 林业科学 林业科学
- 野火生态学 野火生态学
- 全球资源管理全球资源管理
背景情况:
- 全球木材需求正在上升,每年达到1.5万亿美元.
- 野火对全球木材生产构成越来越大的威胁.
- 森林种植园提供了全球木材的很大一部分,但它们的野火脆弱性受到争议.
研究的目的:
- 为了比较森林种植园与自然生产森林的脆弱性,以替代野火.
- 量化2015年至2022年期间受野火影响的森林面积的范围.
- 为确保全球木材安全的战略提供信息.
主要方法:
- 2015-2022年联合森林管理和野火数据.
- 利用17个国家的统计匹配进行分析.
- 专注于取代影响木材生产森林的野火.
主要成果:
- 在2015-2022年期间,15.7万公的自然森林和140万公的种植园经历了取代立场的野火.
- 与自然森林相比,温带地区的种植园遭受取代立场的野火的可能性是自然森林的两倍.
- 热带种植园中的野火风险因国家而异.
结论:
- 森林种植园,特别是在温带地区,非常容易受到森林火灾的破坏.
- 需要紧急实施景观层面的规划和各种各样的消防管理策略.
- 积极的措施对于确保全球木材安全至关重要,因为木材需求和野火威胁日益增加.
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