城市和非城市对碳社会成本的贡献
Francisco Estrada1,2,3, Veronica Lupi4,5, W J Wouter Botzen4
1Instituto de Ciencias de la Atmósfera, Universidad Nacional Autónoma de México, Mexico City, Mexico. feporrua@atmosfera.unam.mx.
Nature communications
|May 6, 2025
概括
由于城市热岛,碳的社会成本 (SCC) 在城市显著更高. 作为主要的温室气体排放者,城市面临着气候变化带来的最大经济损失.
科学领域:
- 环境经济学环境经济学
- 气候科学 气候科学
- 城市研究 城市研究
背景情况:
- 碳的社会成本 (SCC) 量化了气候变化的全球和国家经济影响.
- 现有的SCC研究忽视了城市特异性因素以及当地和全球变暖的相互作用.
- 城市面临的气候风险放大,由于高暴露和现有的社会环境挑战.
研究的目的:
- 为了估计城市地区的SCC,考虑城市热岛 (UHI) 效应.
- 评估可归因于城市地区的全球SCC的比例.
- 突出气候变化对主要城市中心的经济影响.
主要方法:
- 使用一个空间显式综合评估模型.
- 计算的SCC,并没有考虑UHI变暖.
- 分析了城市暴露和UHI对整体SCC的贡献.
主要成果:
- 估计的SCC是187美元/tCO2,增加到490美元/tCO2与UHI效应.
- 城市SCC占全球SCC的绝大多数 (78%-93%).
- 高温室气体 (GHG) 排放的国家,通常是城市化的国家,承受着最严重的经济损失.
结论:
- 城市地区,特别是它们的热岛效应,大大增加了碳的社会成本.
- 城市受到气候变化经济的影响不成比例,尽管它们对排放做出了重大贡献.
- 全球城市对气候政策有很大的影响,对去碳化有很强的动力.
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