归因于低体力活动的心血管疾病负担的全球趋势和模式:对1990年至2021年全球疾病负担研究的系统分析
Rongxiang Zhang1,2, Siyue Fan2, Chenyang Zhu2
1Xiamen Cardiovascular Hospital of Xiamen University, School of Medicine, Fujian Branch of National Clinical Research Center for Cardiovascular Diseases, Xiamen, China.
PloS one
|May 7, 2025
概括
低体力活动显著导致全球心血管疾病 (CVD) 死亡和残疾. 增加体力活动的干预措施至关重要,特别是在高负担地区,以减轻这个日益严重的健康问题.
科学领域:
- 公共卫生 公共卫生
- 流行病学 流行病学
- 全球健康 全球健康
背景情况:
- 心血管疾病 (CVD) 是一个重大的全球健康挑战.
- 低体力活动是心血管疾病的一个关键可修改的风险因素.
- 了解与不活动相关的心血管疾病的时空负担对于公共卫生规划至关重要.
研究的目的:
- 从1990年到2021年,分析归因于低体力活动的心血管疾病 (CVD) 的全球负担.
- 调查时空趋势,并确定与身体不活动相关的心血管疾病负担的驱动因素.
- 预测与低体力活动相关的未来心血管疾病负担.
主要方法:
- 利用了全球疾病负担研究 (GBD) 的数据.
- 检查了死亡人数,残疾调整寿命年 (DALYs),年龄标准化死亡率 (ASMR) 和年龄标准化残疾率 (ASDR).
- 使用分解分析,边界分析和自回归集成移动平均 (ARIMA) 模型进行预测.
主要成果:
- 在2021年,全球约有37万例死亡与低体力活动引起的心血管疾病有关.
- 由于不活动导致的全球心血管疾病负担从1990年到2021年有所增加,特别是在中级社会人口指数地区.
- 预计到2036年,年龄标准化死亡率 (ASMR) 将下降到每10万人中3.49人.
结论:
- 低体力活动是全球心血管疾病死亡率和残疾的一个重要驱动因素.
- 有针对性的公共卫生干预措施来促进身体活动是必不可少的.
- 对于有效的全球卫生战略来说,专注于由于不活动而增加心血管疾病负担的地区至关重要.
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