相关实验视频
Updated: May 12, 2025

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Measuring Delay Discounting in Humans Using an Adjusting Amount Task
Published on: January 9, 2016
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时间间选择中的延迟偏好:早或晚或更快或更慢?
Marc Scholten1, Adam Sanborn2, Lisheng He3
1Faculdade de Design, Tecnologia e Comunicação, Universidade Europeia, Portugal; Unidade de Investigação em Design e Comunicação, Universidade Europeia, Portugal; Centro de Estudos em Gestão do Instituto Superior Técnico, Instituto Superior Técnico, Universidade de Lisboa, Portugal.
Cognitive psychology
|May 7, 2025
概括
这项研究引入了对时间间选择的新视角,超越了迟早的决策,转向了更快或更慢的框架. 更快或更慢的模型更好地预测人们如何做出涉及货币损失的决策.
科学领域:
- 行为经济学是一种行为经济学.
- 决策科学科学 决策科学
- 心理学 心理学 心理学
背景情况:
- 时间间的选择传统上集中在较早或较晚的结果上.
- 大多数研究都使用单一的日期结果,限制了对决策过程的理解.
- 另一个框架考虑了结果积累的速度.
研究的目的:
- 实证地区分时间间选择的早或晚和快或慢模型.
- 用单个和多个日期结果 (支付序列) 的选择来评估模型的概括性.
- 通过将多次支付的偏好与单次支付的偏好联系起来来评估参数的概括性.
主要方法:
- 一个实验涉及单一日期的结果和结果序列 (货币损失) 之间的选择.
- 开发模型评估的收性和歧视性有效性标准.
- 完全贝叶斯分析来比较模型性能.
主要成果:
- 更快或更慢的模型表现出比早或晚的模型更强大的预测能力.
- 更快或更慢的模型在不同的选择结构中显示出更好的概括性.
- 贝叶斯分析强烈支持快速或慢速模型.
结论:
- 更快或更慢的模型提供了更准确的时间间决策,特别是对于损失.
- 结合结果序列的实验设计对于区分决策模型至关重要.
- 损失时间偏好的个体差异可以有效地建模.
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