能源供应安全金字塔:规划和政策制定的定量框架
Matthias Sulzer1, Georgios Mavromatidis1, Alejandro Nuñez-Jimenez2
1Empa - Swiss Federal Laboratories for Materials Science and Technology, Urban Energy Systems Laboratory, Überlandstrasse 129, Dübendorf, 8600 Zurich, Switzerland.
iScience
|May 9, 2025
概括
能源供应安全 (ESS) 是可持续能源转型的一个关键但经常被忽视的方面. 本研究介绍了ESS金字塔,这是一个框架,展示了可持续能源战略如何提高能源供应安全.
科学领域:
- 能源政策 能源政策
- 可持续能源系统 可持续能源系统
- 能源安全分析 能源安全分析
背景情况:
- 能源供应安全 (ESS) 是能源三难题的基本组成部分,但在可持续能源系统设计中经常被忽视.
- 现有的能源政策框架主要侧重于可持续性和公平性,不太重视可量化的ESS指标.
研究的目的:
- 引入一个层次框架,即ESS金字塔,用于评估能源供应安全.
- 为ESS金字塔的每个级别定义定量指标,以支持战略规划.
- 用瑞士的能源转型作为案例研究来展示ESS金字塔的实际应用.
主要方法:
- 开发一个五层次的层次框架 (ESS金字塔),整合概念见解和定量指标.
- 定义基础 (自主生产,自主) 和更高层次 (系统充分性,自给自足,自主) ESS要求的具体指标.
- 将ESS金字塔应用于瑞士的能源转型,以实践验证.
主要成果:
- 欧洲能源系统金字塔 (ESS Pyramid) 提供了一种结构化的方法,可以在不同层次层次上对能源供应安全进行定量评估.
- 该案例研究表明,可持续能源转型可以设计为同时提高能源供应安全.
- 该框架为决策者和能源规划者提供了一个补充工具,与现有的可持续性和公平性评估相辅相成.
结论:
- 在能源三难题的更广泛背景下,ESS金字塔提供了一种新的,结构化的方法来评估和增强能源供应安全.
- 实施ESS金字塔可以指导政策决策和能源系统设计,以实现可持续性和强大的能源供应安全.
- 这一框架使利益相关者能够使用定量工具,更好地应对能源转型的复杂性.
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