使用机器学习对鱼类中有机化学物质的生物度因子进行预测建模和解释性分析
Xuanzhi Dong1, Zhenpeng Xu2, Hongxia Zhao2
1Key Laboratory of Facility Fisheries (Ministry of Education), School of Marine Science, Technology and Environment, Dalian Ocean University, Dalian, 116024, China.
Environmental pollution (Barking, Essex : 1987)
|May 10, 2025
概括
一个新的机器学习 (ML) 模型使用分子特征预测化学生物积累潜力. 随机森林 (RF) 模型有效地识别了具有高生物度因子 (BCF) 值的化学物质,有助于环境风险评估.
科学领域:
- 环境化学环境化学
- 计算化学计算化学
- 毒理学 毒理学 毒理学
背景情况:
- 环境中的化学物质对生态系统和人类健康构成风险.
- 评估环境风险需要了解化学生物积累.
- 传统的生物度因子 (BCF) 确定是昂贵且耗时的.
研究的目的:
- 开发一个机器学习 (ML) 模型来预测BCF值.
- 确定影响生物积累的关键分子描述因素.
- 为预测模型建立一个适用性领域.
主要方法:
- 利用9个机器学习算法来预测BCF.
- 使用随机森林 (RF) 进行预测性能.
- 应用Tanimoto相似性用于适用性领域评估.
- 使用SHAP和PDP进行特征重要性和关系分析.
主要成果:
- 射频模型只使用了10个特征,实现了高精度 (Rtrain2=0.949,Rtest2=0.935).
- 水性,分子体积,形状,极化性和脂性被确定为关键因素.
- 特定的分子描述器值 (MollogP>4.5,等等) 与高生物度潜力相关联.
结论:
- 开发的ML模型为BCF预测提供了一个有效的替代方案.
- 这项研究提供了关于化学生物积累驱动因素的见解.
- 射频模型可以成为积极评估环境风险的有价值工具.
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