2020年美国大选的审计显示,投票计数准确
Samuel Baltz1, Fernanda Gonzalez2, Kevin Guo1
1Massachusetts Institute of Technology, Cambridge, MA 02139.
概括
选举审计证实了美国选票计数的准确性,超过7100万张选票的新数据集显示了最小的差异,加强了2020年选举结果的完整性.
科学领域:
- 政治科学 政治科学是指政治学.
- 数据科学数据科学数据科学
- 美国政治 美国政治
背景情况:
- 选举合法性对于民主国家来说至关重要,尤其是当选举准确性受到质疑时.
- 选举后审计是验证投票计数的一个关键方法.
- 在美国,分散的选举系统导致不同的审计实践和报告,阻碍了全面的分析.
研究的目的:
- 创建一个全面的,全国范围的数据集,美国选举后表格审计结果.
- 为了估计2020年美国大选投票计票的错误率.
- 提供关于美国选举中投票表的准确性的证据.
主要方法:
- 汇编了来自27个州856个地区政府的2020年大选数据.
- 包括71,702,471个单一选票和1,210,528个经审计的选票.
- 分析审计结果以确定投票数量的变化.
主要成果:
- 在所有经过审计的选票中,净总统选票数量在所有经过审计的选票中转移了大约0.007%.
- 在各种竞选类型的选举中,错误很小.
- 数据集涵盖了主要候选人的大量选票 (特朗普6.2%,拜登6.9%).
结论:
- 一个全国范围的选举审计结果数据集为比较选举合法性提供了一个新的方法.
- 调查结果提供了直接和全面的证据,证明2020年美国大选的选票被准确计数.
- 这项研究强调了美国投票表制过程的可靠性.
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