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引入中国的环境治理政策不确定性 (EGPU)

Ran Wu¹, Hongjun Zeng², Jiale Yan³

¹School of Economics and Management, Southeast University, Nanjing, China.

Journal of environmental management

|May 15, 2025

概括

中国的环境治理政策不确定性指数 (EGPU) 影响高排放行业的时间范围不同. 短期的政策风险会影响股票市场,而长期的不确定性会提高业绩,为投资者提供洞察力.

科学领域:

环境政策分析环境政策分析
金融市场研究金融市场研究
中国经济研究中国经济研究

背景情况:

中国的环境治理政策变化造成了不确定性.
高排放行业对政策转变特别敏感.
量化政策不确定性及其对市场的影响至关重要.

研究的目的:

为中国构建一个新的环境治理政策不确定性指数 (EGPU).
分析EGPU对高排放行业市场表现的影响.
探索政策风险影响的时间和条件变化.

主要方法:

对中国主流报纸进行文本分析,以建立EGPU.
波段连贯性和波段量子分析用于时间频域调查.
检查短期,中期和长期的市场表现.

主要成果:

在短期,中期和长期内,EGPU对高排放行业产生重大影响.
短期的EGPU会引起股票市场的立即反应;中期的EGPU会减缓投资和生产.
长期的EGPU提高了市场表现;行业对政策的敏感性各不相同 (例如,煤炭/化学与水泥/钢铁).

结论:

"EGPU指数"为了解中国的环境政策风险提供了有价值的工具.
政策不确定性对高排放行业产生不同的影响,这取决于时间框架和市场条件.
调查结果为决策者和投资者提供了可操作的见解,用于管理环境政策风险.

关键词:

在 EGPU 里面,你会看到 EGPU.环境治理政策的不确定性环境治理政策的不确定性高排放行业的产业是高排放的.波形数量质量质量质量质量质量质量质量质量.

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