分析心血管疾病由于寒冷和热浪而导致住院的风险 在 Dezful
Hamidreza Aghababaeian1,2,3, Rahim Sharafkhani4, Nasim Hamidipour5
1Department of Health in Emergencies and Disasters, Dezful University of Medical Sciences, Dezful, Iran. hamidrezaaghababaeian@yahoo.com.
Scientific reports
|May 15, 2025
概括
气候变化的极端事件,如热浪,增加了心血管疾病,75岁以上的老年人住院治疗. 寒冷波也增加了65-74岁的人住院的风险.
科学领域:
- 环境健康 环境健康
- 心脏病学 心脏病学
- 老年病的医生 老年病的医生
背景情况:
- 气候变化加剧了健康风险,特别是在脆弱的老年人群中.
- 极端天气事件,如热浪和寒浪,对公众健康构成重大威胁.
- 心血管疾病是导致发病和死亡的主要原因,特别是在老年人中.
研究的目的:
- 调查气候极端 (热浪和寒浪) 对Dezful心血管疾病住院率的影响.
- 确定老年人群中最容易受到这些与气候有关的健康影响的特定年龄组.
- 分析定义的热浪和冷浪期间与心血管疾病入院之间的关联.
主要方法:
- 生态时间序列研究设计.
- 收集每日气象数据,环境污染物和心血管疾病住院记录 (ICD-10) 从2013-2019年.
- 应用分布式滞后非线性模型和准波桑分析来评估波浪相关的风险.
主要成果:
- 热浪与75岁以上人群中心血管疾病住院病例增加有关.
- 在65-74岁的年龄组中,寒冷波显著增加了心血管疾病住院的风险.
- 感冒波对56-74岁的住院风险产生了额外的影响,跨越了各种滞后期.
结论:
- 热浪和寒浪都会对Dezful的心血管疾病住院风险产生重大影响,尤其是65岁以上的成年人.
- 老年人是一个特别容易受到气候变化引起的健康问题的人口.
- 公共卫生战略对于在极端天气事件期间保护风险人口至关重要.
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