利用谷歌趋势数据来提高预测和监测长期COVID流行率
Amanda M Y Chu1, Jenny T Y Tsang2, Sophia S C Chan3
1Department of Social Sciences and Policy Studies, The Education University of Hong Kong, Hong Kong, China.
Communications medicine
|May 16, 2025
概括
谷歌趋势数据可以通过分析与症状相关的搜索术语来预测长期的COVID流行. 这种方法有助于疾病监测和公共卫生风险管理.
科学领域:
- 传染病学中的传染病学.
- 公共卫生监督 公共卫生监督
背景情况:
- 长期COVID呈现出COVID-19感染后的重大公共卫生挑战.
- 有效的监督对于明智的政策制定和资源分配至关重要.
研究的目的:
- 探索谷歌趋势数据对提高长期COVID症状监测的实用性.
- 评估搜索量数据的预测能力,以预测长期的COVID流行.
主要方法:
- 从CDC和scite数据库中选择了33个长期COVID症状的搜索术语和20个相关主题.
- 从谷歌趋势数据计算合并的搜索量,使用一种新的统计方法.
- 分析了与"长期COVID"搜索相关的搜索流行趋势.
主要成果:
- 识别了特定的症状 (例如,老年症,厌氧症,头痛) 与之前的搜索人气.
- 在"长期COVID"搜索后观察到的症状搜索 (例如,疲劳,焦虑,呼吸短促).
- 证明合并搜索量 (MSV) 可以预测长期的COVID流行,支持风险管理应用程序.
结论:
- 用复杂的统计方法分析的谷歌趋势数据显示了预测和监测长期COVID流行病的潜力.
- 开发的方法可以为未来的信息学和流行病学研究提供信息.
- 研究结果支持使用数字数据进行公共卫生监测和风险管理.
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