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太阳循环印记在全球海平面变化的起源
Shuhei Masuda1, John Philip Matthews2,3, Yosuke Alexandre Yamashiki4
1Research Institute for Global Change, Japan Agency for Marine-Earth Science and Technology (JAMSTEC), 2-15 Natsushima-cho, Yokosuka, 237-0061, Japan. smasuda@jamstec.go.jp.
Scientific reports
|May 16, 2025
概括
全球海平面变化受到11年太阳周期的影响. 这些周期通过厄尔尼诺南方振荡影响陆地水储量,影响海平面的变化.
科学领域:
- 地球系统科学 地球系统科学
- 气候科学 气候科学
- 海洋学 海洋学 海洋学
背景情况:
- 海平面的变化是气候变化的关键指标.
- 太阳周期对海平面变化的影响尚不清楚.
- 之前的研究还没有完全阐明将太阳活动与海平面波动联系在一起的机制.
研究的目的:
- 为了研究全球海平面变化速度的11年太阳周期振荡,人们对其了解甚少.
- 为了确定太阳引起的海平面变化背后的驱动因素.
- 增强对影响历史和未来海平面变化的因素的理解.
主要方法:
- 重新评估历史海平面数据集.
- 分析精确的卫星高度测量和海拔观测.
- 在11年的时间尺度上调查陆地水储量的波动.
主要成果:
- 陆地水储量率表现出11年的太阳周期波动.
- 太阳周期海平面振荡与海洋和陆地之间的水质交换有关.
- 在太阳周期期间,厄尔尼诺南方振荡 (ENSO) 的变化推动了这些水的转移.
结论:
- 太阳循环通过ENSO和陆地储水来调节全球海平面.
- 从近两年振荡 (QBO) 到ENSO到陆地水储的因果链解释了太阳循环海平面调制.
- 了解这种太阳周期影响对于预测未来海平面变化至关重要.
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