重新审视德尔菲技术 - - 研究思维与实践:一个讨论论文
Felicity Hasson1, Sinead Keeney1, Hugh McKenna1
1School of Nursing and Paramedic Science, Ulster University, United Kingdom of Great Britain and Northern Ireland.
International journal of nursing studies
|May 18, 2025
概括
德尔菲技术是一种建立共识的研究方法,已经远远超出了它的起源. 在专家研究中平衡其灵活性与方法严谨是有意义的见解的关键.
科学领域:
- 社会科学 社会科学 社会科学
- 健康科学 卫生科学 卫生科学
- 信息系统信息系统信息系统
背景情况:
- 兰德公司开发的Delphi技术,传统上在不确定的问题上建立专家共识.
- 它的应用已经扩展到护理,健康和社会科学等学科.
- 方法的多样性增加了,挑战了传统的应用和严格.
研究的目的:
- 批判性地反思Delphi技术的当前应用和方法的发展.
- 重新审视该方法的演变和争议,以此前的工作为基础.
- 检查德尔菲技术的关键方面和进步,特别是关于它的灵活性和严格性.
主要方法:
- 对有关德尔菲技术的现有文献进行批判性反思.
- 分析方法的多样性及其对传统应用的影响.
- 对旨在维护德尔菲方法完整性的新兴指导方针的审查.
主要成果:
- 德尔菲技术的灵活性是一种优势,也是一个挑战.
- 平衡灵活性与严谨性对于可操作的结果至关重要.
- 需要就德尔菲技术本身达成共识,以确保方法的完整性.
结论:
- 德尔菲技术的演变需要对其应用进行批判性重新评估.
- 实现灵活性和严格之间的平衡对于强大的Delphi研究至关重要.
- 需要进一步就德尔菲技术的核心原则达成共识,以指导其多样化的应用.
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