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Updated: May 23, 2025

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转向以气为动力的海港码头起重机,以实现基于多因素实际选择模型的低碳转型
Ang Yang1,2, Yuehui Zhang1, Rui He3
1Dalian Maritime University, Dalian, 116023, China.
Scientific reports
|May 20, 2025
概括
海港可以通过投资气动力码头起重机过渡到绿色能源. 最佳投资包括建造12台新起重机,减少22,140的碳排放,并管理财务风险.
科学领域:
- 海上物流和绿色技术
- 港口的可持续能源系统
- 运营研究和投资分析分析.
背景情况:
- 港口越来越多地采用绿色能源解决方案,用于院子起重机,以支持低碳转型.
- 能提供高效率和环境效益,使其成为脱碳努力的关键组成部分.
- 码头起重机在港口运营中占有很大的能源消耗量,因此它们的转型至关重要.
研究的目的:
- 开发一个成本效益模型来评估对动力场地起重机的投资.
- 在不确定性下,为动力场地起重机项目提出最佳投资战略.
- 为海港过渡到能提供决策框架.
主要方法:
- 利用实际选项理论构建成本效益模型.
- 包含的不确定性因素包括价格,碳价格和技术成熟度.
- 使用青岛港的数据进行了案例研究分析.
主要成果:
- 最佳策略包括在2021-2025年间投资12台新型气动力车场起重机,共18台起重机.
- 这项投资预计将减少22,140的碳排放,项目价值为5.3566亿元.
- 技术成熟度显著影响投资价值;TRL的0.1个增加将选择价值提高了54%.
结论:
- 阶段性投资和市场观察可以减轻在早期采用动力场地起重机的风险.
- 技术开发和研发对于加速海港低碳转型至关重要.
- 开发的框架有助于港口当局在不确定性下为绿色设备做出明智的投资决策.
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