政治态度和道德决定,而不是个性,预测2020年美国总统选举
Peter K Jonason1, Ömer Erdoğan2, Aaron Hoegn2
1Research Institute for Psychology, University of Economics and Human Sciences, Warsaw, Poland.
概括
政治态度,而不是个性特征,最能预测总统选举的结果. 道德问题,特别是纯洁和公平,也影响了选择,特别是在2020年美国大选的第三方选民中.
科学领域:
- 心理学 心理学 心理学
- 政治科学 政治科学是指政治学.
背景情况:
- 传统的政治心理学研究往往忽视了各种各样的个性变量.
- 了解投票行为的心理基础需要一个更广泛的视角超越标准的社会人口统计学因素.
研究的目的:
- 调查"黑暗"和"光明"的人格特征,政治态度和道德基础对2020年美国总统选举选择的预测能力.
- 为了比较处置措施与社会人口预测指标在理解投票行为的相对重要性.
主要方法:
- 对280名参与者进行了关于2020年美国总统大选投票的调查.
- 评估"黑暗" (精神病,虐待狂,自恋,马基雅维利主义) 和"光明" (坎蒂安主义,人文主义,对人类的信仰) 的个性特征.
- 衡量政治态度 (社会统治倾向,右翼和左翼专制主义) 和道德基础 (关心,公平,忠诚,纯洁,自由,等级).
主要成果:
- 人格特征在预测总统选举时的重要性微不足道.
- 政治态度成为投票行为的最强大和最广泛的预测因素.
- 道德基础有一些实用性,特别是在第三方投票方面;第三方选民优先考虑纯度而不是拜登支持者,公平而不是特朗普支持者.
结论:
- 在总统选举中,政治态度比广泛的人格特征更有影响力.
- 伦理问题,特别是纯洁和公平,区分了候选人的支持者和第三方选民.
- 处置措施为政治分析提供了传统的社会人口预测指标的宝贵补充.
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