开罗共识之前和之后的不想要的分娩,避孕和堕胎:有条件的不想要的出生率的趋势和避孕和堕胎的影响
Studies in family planning
|May 21, 2025
概括
在全球范围内,由于避孕药的使用增加和堕胎的机会增加,意外分娩的比例显著下降. 这一趋势反映了全球生殖机构和计划生育方面的进展.
科学领域:
- 生殖健康 生殖健康
- 人口统计学 人口统计学
- 全球健康 全球健康
背景情况:
- 国际人口与发展会议 (ICPD) 和北京宣言确认了生殖权利.
- 生殖机构包括决定孩子的数量和间隔的权利,以及获得信息和手段的权利.
研究的目的:
- 估计不想要的出生趋势,这是生殖机构的关键组成部分.
- 分析从1975年到2024年的有条件的不想要的出生率.
主要方法:
- 五年期 (1975-2024) 的年利率估计.
- 分析每千个想要避免怀孕的妇女所产生的意外分娩.
- 基于避孕药的使用和堕胎率建模反事实场景.
主要成果:
- 全球不必要的出生人数从每年4500万 (1990-1994) 减少到每年3600万 (2020-2024).
- 有条件的不想要的出生率从每千名妇女的61个下降到32个.
- 增加避孕药的使用在2020-2024年避免了36%的潜在不想要分娩,而堕胎减少了58%的潜在不想要分娩.
结论:
- 自1990年以来,全球在减少意外分娩方面取得了重大进展.
- 避孕药的使用和堕胎的机会是导致这一下降的关键因素.
- 一些地区的衰退速度放缓,需要继续关注生殖健康倡议.
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