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在疾病风险绘制中的战略风险因素选择,应用于瑞典非洲猪瘟疫情
Hyeyoung Kim1, Erika Chenais2, Cecilia Hultén1
1Department of Epidemiology, Surveillance and Risk Assessment, Swedish Veterinary Agency, SVA, Uppsala 75189, Sweden.
Preventive veterinary medicine
|May 27, 2025
概括
通过考虑被忽视的人类活动,改善了非洲猪瘟 (ASF) 的风险映射. 这增强了对野猪种群和公共卫生的疾病监测和控制策略.
科学领域:
- 流行病学 流行病学
- 兽医公共卫生 兽医公共卫生
- 疾病生态学 疾病生态学
背景情况:
- 风险绘制对于识别疾病爆发热点和指导控制措施至关重要.
- 非洲猪瘟病毒 (ASFV) 对猪群构成重大威胁,需要有效的风险评估.
- 之前的风险测绘工作可能没有完全捕捉到导致疾病传播的因素的复杂相互作用.
研究的目的:
- 调查风险因素选择对非洲猪瘟 (ASF) 风险地图输出的影响.
- 分析不同的风险因素考虑如何影响识别ASFV高风险地区.
- 通过纳入更广泛的生态和社会人口因素来完善ASF风险测绘方法.
主要方法:
- 作为一个案例研究,利用了瑞典Fagersta的ASF疫情.
- 根据引入,释放和传播动态确定了ASFV风险因素.
- 分析了人类活动 (如废物管理) 和野猪种群在疾病传播中的作用.
主要成果:
- 证明以前被忽视的人类活动,如残留废物管理,甚至在低风险地区,也对ASF风险作出了重大贡献.
- 展示了这些因素的纳入如何改变疾病风险计算和风险地图输出.
- 强调考虑传统的以野生动物为中心的参数以外的因素的重要性.
结论:
- 强调需要全面的风险评估框架,整合生态,社会人口和新兴的ASF研究结果.
- 强调需要频繁修订风险地图,以纳入特定区域的威胁,并适应环境变化.
- 旨在改善对ASF和其他传染病的准备和应对策略,加强动物和公共卫生保护.
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