海洋变暖对太平洋西部和中部的海底生态系统的预测影响,使用多种物种大小谱模型
Xiaodong Li1, Zhe Geng2, Qinqin Lin2
1College of Marine Living Resource Sciences and Management, Shanghai Ocean University, Shanghai 201306, China.
Marine pollution bulletin
|June 4, 2025
概括
海洋变暖对海底生态系统产生重大影响,影响金枪鱼,鱼和鱼. 气候变化改变了物种相互作用和自然死亡率,需要适应性渔业管理.
科学领域:
- 海洋生态海洋生态学
- 气候变化影响气候变化的影响.
- 渔业科学 渔业科学
背景情况:
- 海洋变暖改变了海底鱼类的食物网和物种相互作用.
- 对金枪鱼种群动态的影响是显著的,但研究不足.
- 气候变化对海洋物种的生态系统层面影响需要全面评估.
研究的目的:
- 评估海洋变暖对西太平洋和中太平洋 (WCPO) 生态系统的影响.
- 为了模拟对大型海底物种的影响,包括金枪鱼,鱼和鱼.
- 为气候适应性渔业管理提供科学支持.
主要方法:
- 开发了一种多物种大小谱模型 (MSSM).
- 整合了中国长渔业数据和公共数据集.
- 在四个共享社会经济路径 (SSP) 气候场景下的模拟影响.
主要成果:
- 海洋变暖影响了自然死亡率,体重,生物量和大型海物种的生产.
- 比起金枪鱼,鱼对生长和繁殖的影响更大.
- 在高排放场景下,短长矛鱼的生长和繁殖显著下降.
- 蓝和大洋白的自然死亡率在SSP5-8.5.5下显著增加,特别是在SSP5-8.5.5下.
结论:
- 海洋变暖将重组WCPO海生态系统.
- 物种动态的重大变化需要主动管理.
- 这些发现支持可持续的金枪鱼渔业和适应气候的战略.
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