在大量人群中出现不良结果的危险因素
Giancarlo Licitra1, Lindsey C Ivey2, Cheryl L Raskind-Hood2
1Department of Internal Medicine, Emory University School of Medicine, Atlanta, GA, USA. giancarlo.licitra@emory.edu.
Pediatric cardiology
|June 6, 2025
概括
晚期芬坦失败是很常见的. 并发症随着年龄的增长而增加,在儿童和成人患者中显著增加心脏移植,癌症,死亡和住院的风险. 早期干预是关键的.
科学领域:
- 心脏病学 心脏病学
- 儿童心脏病学 儿童心脏病学
- 成年人的先天性心脏病
背景情况:
- 改善的Fontan手术生存率受到Fontan晚期失败的挑战.
- 晚期失败源于异质的,多器官并发症,随着时间的推移而演变.
研究的目的:
- 为了评估与Fontan相关的并发症的流行率.
- 评估这些并发症与儿科和成人Fontan患者的不良结果之间的关联.
主要方法:
- 分析了668名儿科和成人Fontan患者的队列,使用医疗保健遭遇和死亡证明数据 (2010-2019).
- 双变量分析确定了复合结局 (心脏移植,肝细胞癌[HCC]或死亡) 的风险因素.
- 多变量逻辑回归和卡普兰-梅尔曲线评估了风险因素关联和生存结果.
主要成果:
- 12.3%的患者经历了复合结局,成人 (21.3%) 的发病率高于儿童 (9.0%).
- 临床风险因素随着年龄的增长而增加,并与HCC相关. 患有3+危险因子的患者的存活率明显降低 (逻辑等级p<0.01).
- 心力衰竭是最强的预测因素 (aOR 5.90);3个+风险因素使复合结果增加了4倍 (aOR 3.71),影响了儿童和成人.
结论:
- 与Fontan相关的并发症随着患者年龄的增加而增加,并与移植,HCC,死亡和住院有关.
- 这些发现凸显了早期发现并发症的必要性和对并发症的干预,以改善Fontan幸存者的长期结果.
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