在政府补贴下进行动力电池回收的闭环供应链的复杂性分析
Abudureheman Kadeer1, Xiaobin Wang1, Huanying He1
1Xinjiang Institute of Technology, Xinjiang, China.
PloS one
|June 13, 2025
概括
政府对新能源电动汽车的补贴会影响制造商和零售商的战略. 虽然短期的补贴会提高利,但长期的过度补贴会导致系统混乱和收入下降.
科学领域:
- 经济学 经济学 经济学
- 游戏理论 游戏理论
- 环境政策 环境政策
背景情况:
- 政府补贴对于新能源电动汽车 (NEV) 的采用至关重要.
- 了解制造商和零售商之间的战略互动对于新能源汽车市场增长至关重要.
- 补贴政策对市场稳定性和利能力的长期影响需要彻底调查.
研究的目的:
- 分析政府补贴计划下的新能源汽车制造商和零售商的最佳决策策略.
- 调查补贴标准,基金回报率和市场规模对战略选择的影响.
- 探索决策者互动产生的复杂动态和潜在的混乱行为,以及它们对利能力的影响.
主要方法:
- 构建一个静态游戏模型以确定最佳策略.
- 开发一个动态游戏模型来分析复杂的行为和收益.
- 时间延迟反控制的应用来调节混乱的系统行为.
主要成果:
- 政府补贴标准,基金回报率和市场规模显著影响NEV定价和回收服务.
- 确定了平衡策略的稳定区域.
- 超过关键价格调整速度值可以诱导平衡策略中的分叉和混乱行为.
结论:
- 短期政府补贴可以提高NEV市场参与者的短期利.
- 持续或过度的补贴可能会破坏市场的稳定,导致混乱的动态和降低长期利能力.
- 有针对性的管理见解表明,需要仔细校准补贴政策,以确保可持续的新能源汽车市场发展.
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