气候变化对中食动物的影响:全球综述和元分析
Vasco Valdez1, Pablo Ferreras2, Luís Miguel Rosalino1
1CE3C - Centre for Ecology, Evolution and Environmental Change & CHANGE - Global Change and Sustainability Institute, Faculdade de Ciências, Universidade de Lisboa, Lisboa, Portugal.
Global change biology
|June 14, 2025
概括
气候变化威胁着生物多样性,特别是影响中食动物. 大多数物种面临范围收缩,干旱和专业森林居民最脆弱,需要量身定制的保护策略.
科学领域:
- 生态生态学 生态生态学
- 气候变化生物学 气候变化生物学
- 保护科学 保护科学
背景情况:
- 气候变化对全球生物多样性构成重大威胁.
- 比较高的食量级物种,如中食动物,不成比例地受到级联生态效应的影响.
- 了解气候变化对大肉食动物的影响的区域和分类学变化至关重要,但有限.
研究的目的:
- 综合当前关于气候变化对中食动物 (食肉动物序列) 影响的研究.
- 分析研究重点,地理分布和方法的趋势.
- 通过生态利基模型对未来的分布变化进行元分析.
主要方法:
- 系统审查119篇关于气候变化和中食动物的文章.
- 分析研究趋势,分类学和地理重点以及共同的研究方法.
- 对21项使用生态利基模型进行未来分布预测的研究进行了元分析.
主要成果:
- 随着时间的推移,对气候变化对中食动物的影响的研究越来越多,犬类和类动物是最受研究的.
- 欧洲和美洲在研究领域占主导地位,而非洲和大洋洲的代表性不足.
- 大多数中食动物预计将经历范围收缩,特别是干旱,山地和热带森林息地的专家,区域差异很大.
结论:
- 气候变化影响中肉类动物在种类和地区的分布不均.
- 息地通用主义者可能会表现出一些弹性,但总的来说,范围的收缩是一个主要问题.
- 保护策略必须是区域和物种特定的,以有效地减轻气候变化对中食肉类的影响.
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