估计和预测25个特有国家的杆菌病的经济负担
Xian-Fa Chen1, Qin Li1, Robert Bergquist2
1National Institute of Parasitic Diseases at Chinese Center for Disease Control and Prevention (Chinese Center for Tropical Diseases Research); National Key Laboratory of Intelligent Tracking and Forecasting for Infectious Diseases; Key Laboratory On Parasite and Vector Biology, National Health Commission; WHO Centre for Tropical Diseases; National Center for International Research on Tropical Diseases, Ministry of Science and Technology, Shanghai, 200025, China.
Infectious diseases of poverty
|June 16, 2025
概括
石病的全球经济负担是巨大的,在25个国家花费超过490亿印度元. 增加对杆菌病控制的投资可以带来显著的经济回报.
科学领域:
- 全球卫生经济学 全球卫生经济学
- 热带疾病研究 热带疾病研究
- 宏观经济建模 宏观经济建模
背景情况:
- 湿病是一种被忽视的热带疾病,对健康和经济产生重大影响,特别是在低收入和中等收入国家.
- 缺乏全面的全球经济影响评估,阻碍了基于证据的决策.
- 这项研究估计了25个特有国家的istosomiasis的宏观经济负担.
研究的目的:
- 在全球范围内量化石病的宏观经济负担.
- 提供必要的数据,以做出明智的政策和投资决策,以控制杆菌病.
- 分析25个特有国家的经济影响.
主要方法:
- 利用了健康增强宏观经济 (HAM) 模型,结合了观察和预测数据 (2010-2050).
- 来自多个全球来源的综合数据,包括GBD 2021,世界银行,国际货币基金组织,国际劳工组织和联合国人口司.
- 量化经济负担,即结病和没有结病的情景之间的国内生产总值 (GDP) 差异,考虑到死亡率,发病率,教育和治疗成本.
主要成果:
- 据估计,在研究期间,杆菌病的宏观经济负担为49504万印第安纳元 (UI: 48,668-50,339).
- 这种负担占25个国家的总GDP的0.0174% (UI:0.0171-0.0177).
- 埃及 (INT$11.4亿),巴西 (INT$9.779亿) 和南非 (INT$6.744亿) 承受了最大的绝对经济负担.
结论:
- 杆菌病的全球经济负担很大,分布不均.
- 增加投资和国际合作对于控制杆菌病至关重要.
- 推进排症消除工作可以带来重大的经济效益.
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