对于患有间歇性肺病和肺癌患者的一年死亡风险预测模型
Xiaorui Ding1, Wanqing Zhou1, Guanning Zhong1
1Department of Pulmonary and Critical Care Medicine, Nanjing Drum Tower Hospital, Affiliated Hospital of Medical School, Nanjing University, Nanjing, China.
Translational lung cancer research
|June 19, 2025
概括
这项研究开发了一种1年死亡风险预测模型,用于患有间歇性肺病 (ILD) 和肺癌 (LC) 的患者. 该模型有助于识别高风险个体,以精确管理这些复杂的案件.
科学领域:
- 肺部病理学 肺部病理学
- 在瘤学瘤学.
- 医疗信息学 医疗信息学
背景情况:
- 间歇性肺病 (ILD) 和肺癌 (LC) 的同时发生是一个日益增长的临床和研究兴趣的领域.
- 了解ILD和LC患者的临床特征和预后因素对于有效的患者管理至关重要.
研究的目的:
- 描述诊断出ILD和LC的患者的临床特征.
- 为了确定与这种患者队列中死亡率相关的预后因素.
- 开发和验证一种预测模型,用于同时患有ILD和LC的患者1年死亡风险的预测模型.
主要方法:
- 从2017年到2022年进行了一项回顾性研究,涉及206名ILD和LC患者.
- 收集的数据包括人口统计,LC组织学和阶段,ILD高分辨率计算机断层扫描 (HRCT) 模式,实验室结果和治疗结果.
- 使用逻辑回归开发了一种基于nomogram的1年全因死亡率预测模型,并使用AUC,校准和决策曲线进行验证.
主要成果:
- 腺癌 (45.6%) 是最常见的LC亚型;43.7%的瘤位于ILD病变内.
- 常见间歇性肺炎 (UIP) 是最常见的ILD HRCT模式 (49.5%).
- 一年内全因死亡率为41.3%. 预测模型,结合年龄,性别,中性粒细胞计数,LDH和白蛋白,实现AUC为0.775 (训练) 和0.716 (验证).
结论:
- 经过验证的纳米图,包括临床和实验室变量,可以预测同时患有ILD和LC的患者的1年死亡率.
- 该模型有助于识别高风险患者,以定制管理策略.
- 建议在多中心研究中进一步进行外部验证.
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