在日本,释放的惩戒囚犯中,公众对重犯风险的看法
1Ochanomizu University, Bunkyo-ku, Tokyo, Japan.
概括
在日本,公众对重复犯罪率的看法大大高估了实际的重新监禁,特别是性,抢劫和毒品犯罪. 年龄影响了对毒品犯罪重犯的看法,但性别没有.
科学领域:
- 犯罪学 犯罪学
- 社会心理学 社会心理学
- 刑事司法 刑事司法 刑事司法
背景情况:
- 公众对犯罪和重复犯罪的看法显著影响刑事司法政策和公众的信任.
- 感知和实际的重犯率之间的差异可能导致错误的政策决策和无效的风险沟通.
研究的目的:
- 检查公众对日本重犯率的看法与官方统计数据之间的差距.
- 调查性别和年龄对公众对重复犯罪的估计的影响.
主要方法:
- 一项基于网络的调查对381名参与者进行了管理.
- 参与者估计了七种犯罪类别的五年重新监禁率和整体平均水平.
- 为了分析数据,采用了对方差的双因素分析.
主要成果:
- 在所有犯罪类别中,参与者始终高估了重犯率.
- 对性犯罪 (27.35个百分点),抢劫 (23.11个百分点) 和毒品犯罪 (18.54个百分点) 进行了显著的高估.
- 年龄对估计的毒品犯罪复发率有显著影响,40多岁的个人估计的复发率高于20多岁. 没有发现任何显著的性别影响.
结论:
- 在日本,公众对重复犯罪的看法和统计现实之间存在着显著的差异.
- 了解公众对重犯行为的看法对于制定有效的刑事司法政策和改进风险沟通策略至关重要.
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