登革热的趋势和跨国不平等,1990-2021年
Mingzhu Zhou1, Yong He1, Liangmiao Wu2
1School of Pharmaceutical Business, Guangdong Pharmaceutical University, Guangzhou, Guangdong Province, China.
PloS one
|June 20, 2025
概括
从1990年到2021年,登革热的负担在全球范围内增加,严重的健康不平等仍然存在. 预测显示发病率稳定但死亡率下降,特别是在女性中,强调需要有针对性的干预措施.
科学领域:
- 全球卫生健康 全球卫生健康
- 流行病学 流行病学
- 公共卫生 公共卫生
背景情况:
- 关于全球登革热负担和健康不平等的最新数据有限.
- 需要对登革热的全球影响和差异进行全面评估.
研究的目的:
- 评估1990年至2021年登革热的全球负担.
- 分析相关的健康不平等和人口趋势.
- 预测未来的登革热负担,并为缓解策略提供信息.
主要方法:
- 利用全球疾病负担 (GBD) 数据库查看流行病学趋势.
- 进行人口统计分析,不平等评估和预测建模.
- 雇佣年龄周期队列 (APC) 和贝叶斯年龄周期队列 (BAPC) 模型.
主要成果:
- 从1990年到2021年,全球登革热发病率,流行率,DALY和死亡率均有所增加.
- 发病率和流行率的年龄标准化率 (ASR) 增加;DALY和死亡率也增加.
- 人口增长推动了全球负担;与社会人口指数 (SDI) 相关的健康不平等仍然存在.
结论:
- 登革热的负担是由人口增长,老龄化和健康不平等造成的.
- 在30年内量化变化和预测趋势.
- 建议措施,以减轻登革热管理中的健康不平等.
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