美国净零排放目标对能源,水,土地和健康的影响,各州各州
Yang Ou1,2, Gokul Iyer3, Haewon McJeon4
1College of Environmental Sciences and Engineering, Peking University, Beijing, China.
概括
实现美国净零目标需要大量投资,并导致减少用水量和空气污染. 国家一级的经济和可持续性影响各不相同,并不总是与减排贡献相关.
科学领域:
- 环境经济学环境经济学
- 气候变化政策 气候变化政策
- 综合评估建模综合评估建模
背景情况:
- 地方战略对于实现美国净零目标至关重要.
- 了解国家一级的经济和可持续性影响对于公共支持和有效实施至关重要.
- 需要整体评估来指导政策设计.
研究的目的:
- 探索四个不同的途径,朝着美国的净零目标前进.
- 在州一级调查这些途径对能源,水,土地和健康的影响.
- 为成本有效和可持续的净零转型提供基本见解.
主要方法:
- 使用综合评估模型.
- 分析了四种不同的净零实施途径.
- 专注于能源,水,土地和卫生部门的分国家级 (州级) 影响.
主要成果:
- 显著的资本周转:每年170-200亿美元的投资和每年16-29亿美元的滞留电力部门资产.
- 减少了120-210公里3/年的取水量.
- 避免空气污染造成的损害总额为每年220-300亿美元,森林扩张的面积为300-500万平方公里.
- 国家一级的经济和可持续性成果可能与个别国家对国家减排贡献的贡献无关.
结论:
- 实现美国的净零目标需要大幅度的经济转变和环境效益.
- 国家层面的影响需要量身定制的战略,因为国家贡献不能预测当地结果.
- 这项研究为明智决策提供了框架,以促进公平有效的净零转型.
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