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在移植后瘤复发的风险估计 (PRETREAT) 评分
Zhihao Li1, Timucin Taner1, John E Eaton2
1Division of Transplant Surgery, William J. von Liebig Transplant Center, Mayo Clinic, Rochester, MN.
Annals of surgery
|June 23, 2025
概括
一个新的风险评分,PRETREAT,准确地预测了肝移植后周围胆管癌 (pCCA) 患者的移植后复发. 该工具有助于个性化监测和治疗策略,以改善患者的治疗结果.
科学领域:
- 肝胆道手术是肝胆道的手术.
- 移植瘤学 移植瘤学
- 恶性瘤风险分层的分层.
背景情况:
- 周围胆管癌 (pCCA) 是具有不良预后的侵袭性.
- 肝移植 (LT) 与新辅助化学辐射 (CRT) 为选择的pCCA患者提供治疗方法.
- 在pCCA中缺乏针对LT后复发的风险分层工具.
研究的目的:
- 开发和验证一个风险评分,用于预测pCCA的移植后复发.
- 确定pCCA在LT后复发的关键预测因素.
- 将pCCA患者分为风险组进行分层,以便量身定制的管理.
主要方法:
- 对399名接受新辅助CRT和LT治疗的pCCA患者进行了回顾性研究.
- 多变量考克斯回归与LASSO用于预测因子的识别.
- 开发和验证PRETREAT风险评分 (内部和外部).
主要成果:
- 确定了4个独立的预测因素:残留瘤,血管封闭,淋巴血管入侵和瘤直径.
- 在PRETREAT评分中,差别表现出色 (C指数为0.83-0.85).
- 在低风险,中等风险和高风险组中,无复发的5年生存率存在显著差异 (89.0%,38.3%,15.4%).
结论:
- PRETREAT评分是一个有价值的工具,用于对LT后的pCCA患者进行风险分层监测.
- 促进个性化管理,并指导未来的临床试验设计.
- 能够更好地预测复发,并为移植后护理策略提供信息.
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