葡萄园灌的未来:来自物联网数据的AI驱动洞察力
Simona Stojanova1, Mojca Volk1, Gregor Balkovec1
1Faculty of Electrical Engineering, University of Ljubljana, Tržaška cesta 25, 1000 Ljubljana, Slovenia.
Sensors (Basel, Switzerland)
|June 27, 2025
概括
准确的灌量预测对于可持续农业至关重要. 与线性回归相比,长短期记忆 (LSTM) 模型显著提高了长期灌预测的准确性.
科学领域:
- 农业科学 农业科学
- 数据科学数据科学数据科学
- 环境科学 环境科学
背景情况:
- 准确的灌量预测对于可持续的农业和水资源管理至关重要.
- 现有的方法往往缺乏用于葡萄种植的长期预测所需的精度.
- 从历史记录,土壤湿度和气候中整合数据是提高灌策略的关键.
研究的目的:
- 开发和评估一款用于准确长期灌量预测的机器学习模型.
- 为准确农业解决可持续水资源管理的关键缺口.
- 评估长期短期记忆 (LSTM) 模型与基线线性回归模型的性能.
主要方法:
- 收集了包括历史灌,土壤湿度和气候因素在内的多样化的数据集,跨越了三年的时间 (2017-2019).
- 开发并测试了一种长短期记忆 (LSTM) 机器学习模型,用于预测灌需求.
- 将LSTM模型性能与使用平均平方误差 (MSE) 和交叉验证的线性回归 (LinReg) 模型进行比较.
主要成果:
- LSTM 模型的平均平方误差 (MSE) 为 0.37,显著超过 LinReg 模型的 MSE 1.29.
- 对LSTM模型的交叉验证结果显示,MSE的平均值为0.18.
- 一个配对的t测试证实了LSTM模型性能改善的统计学意义 (p值 = 0.0009).
结论:
- 人工智能 (AI),特别是LSTM模型,为优化精准农业灌计划提供了强大的工具.
- 开发的LSTM模型为长期灌预测提供了实用,数据驱动的解决方案,支持可持续的水资源管理.
- 这项研究表明,人工智能有潜力增强可持续葡萄种植和更广泛的农业应用的决策.
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