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能源与可持续发展的桥梁:气候变化管理的游戏理论和模糊决策分析方法
Gönül Selin Savaşkan1, Sibel Menteşe2, Ejder Ayçin3
1Department of Economics, Faculty of Political Sciences, Çanakkale Onsekiz Mart University, Çanakkale, Türkiye.
Journal of environmental management
|June 27, 2025
概括
这项研究使用模糊的MCDM和游戏理论来建模气候变化决策. 政府和非政府组织的倡议优先考虑可再生能源,循环经济和环境管理系统.
科学领域:
- 环境科学与政策 环境科学与政策
- 决策科学 决策科学 决策科学
- 游戏理论 游戏理论
背景情况:
- 由于化石燃料消耗导致的气候变化,需要有效的能源和环境管理.
- 在这个领域的决策是复杂的,因为不同的利益相关者,如政府和非政府组织有冲突的优先事项.
研究的目的:
- 开发一种混合框架,用于管理气候变化减缓的复杂利益相关者决策.
- 模拟政府与非政府组织之间的战略互动.
主要方法:
- 一个混合框架,结合了模糊的多标准决策 (MCDM) 和非零和游戏理论.
- 基于环境管理系统 (EMS),循环经济 (CE) 和可再生能源 (RE) 采用,评估利益相关者的贡献.
- 分析使用纳什平衡用于同时游戏和逆向诱导用于连续游戏.
主要成果:
- 利益相关者一直支持增加可再生能源 (RE) 的采用.
- 促进公众对生命周期评估 (LCA) 的认识和整合EMS也是首选的战略.
- 该研究确定了政府和非政府组织倡议的最佳策略.
结论:
- 混合MCDM和游戏理论方法有效地模拟了气候变化管理中的复杂利益相关者互动.
- 调查结果为改善环境和能源管理流程的最佳策略提供了洞察力.
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