极端城市温度暴露和早产:使用机器学习模型预测时空风险区域
Yuxiao Wang1, Lingchen Bu1, Zanmei Wei1
1Faculty of Geographical Science, Beijing Normal University, Beijing, 100875, China.
Environmental research
|June 27, 2025
概括
极端温度和温度变化增加了早产 (PTB) 的风险. 热风险集中在城市地区,而寒冷风险更广泛,为气候适应战略提供信息.
科学领域:
- 环境流行病学环境流行病学
- 公共卫生 公共卫生
- 气候变化影响气候变化的影响.
背景情况:
- 过早分娩 (PTB) 是一个主要的全球健康问题.
- 环境因素,特别是温度,越来越多地被认为是导致PTB的潜在因素.
- 了解温度和PTB之间的时空关系对于有针对性的干预至关重要.
研究的目的:
- 调查环境温度对早产 (PTB) 风险的影响.
- 为了确定特定的温度值和与增加的PTB相关的变化.
- 绘制与温度相关的PTB风险的空间模式.
主要方法:
- 利用了中国武汉311,972名孕妇的GPS坐标.
- 集成的日常环境数据与住宅地址.
- 开发并应用了用于暴露结果分析的机器学习模型.
- 进行空间分析以确定风险区.
主要成果:
- 在温度低于14°C或高于21°C时,PTB风险增加.
- 过度的温度变化和急性极端天气暴露增加了PTB风险.
- 与热相关的PTB风险集中在城市热岛;与寒冷相关的风险更为普遍.
结论:
- 极端的温度和温度的变化是早产的重要危险因素.
- 与温度相关的PTB风险存在空间差异,受城市热岛效应的影响.
- 这些发现支持基于证据的城市规划和气候适应战略,以减轻PTB.
相关概念视频
Steps in Outbreak Investigation
213
In the ever-evolving field of public health, statistical analysis serves as a cornerstone for understanding and managing disease outbreaks. By leveraging various statistical tools, health professionals can predict potential outbreaks, analyze ongoing situations, and devise effective responses to mitigate impact. For that to happen, there are a few possible stages of the analysis:
213
Temperature Measurement Sites
2.2K
A thermometer measures body temperature. The common sites for measuring body temperature are the oral cavity, axillary region, temporal artery, and skin surface, such as the forehead, abdomen, and axilla. True core body temperature is assessed in the rectum, tympanic membrane, pulmonary artery, esophagus, and urinary bladder.
Oral: When assessing oral temperature, the thermometer tip should be placed under the tongue in the posterior sublingual pocket. It offers accurate readings and can be...
Oral: When assessing oral temperature, the thermometer tip should be placed under the tongue in the posterior sublingual pocket. It offers accurate readings and can be...
2.2K
Assessing Body Temperature - Temporal Artery
683
Here is a stepwise guide to assessing the body temperature at the temporal artery using a temporal artery thermometer
Step 1: Perform hand hygiene and don a fresh pair of gloves to prevent cross-infection and ensure patient safety.
Step 2: Explain the procedure to the patient to establish trust. Clear communication establishes trust with the patient, ensures they understand what to expect, promotes cooperation, and enhances comfort during the procedure.
Step 3: Assess the patient's...
Step 1: Perform hand hygiene and don a fresh pair of gloves to prevent cross-infection and ensure patient safety.
Step 2: Explain the procedure to the patient to establish trust. Clear communication establishes trust with the patient, ensures they understand what to expect, promotes cooperation, and enhances comfort during the procedure.
Step 3: Assess the patient's...
683
What is Weather?
18.5K
Overview
18.5K
Factors Affecting Body Temperature
6.9K
As a nurse, it is vital to understand the factors affecting body temperature to monitor variations and effectively evaluate deviations from regular.
Factors may include:
Factors may include:
6.9K
Regression Toward the Mean
6.5K
Regression toward the mean (“RTM”) is a phenomenon in which extremely high or low values—for example, and individual’s blood pressure at a particular moment—appear closer to a group’s average upon remeasuring. Although this statistical peculiarity is the result of random error and chance, it has been problematic across various medical, scientific, financial and psychological applications. In particular, RTM, if not taken into account, can interfere when...
6.5K


