一种基于模拟的方法,用于用于癌症治疗的医院的住院患者容量管理
Anup C Mokashi1, Ginger J Gardner2, Adam D Klotz2
1Memorial Sloan Kettering Cancer Center, 1275 York Avenue, 10065, New York, NY, USA. mokashia@mskcc.org.
Journal of medical systems
|June 28, 2025
概括
这项研究开发了一种模拟模型,用于纪念斯隆凯特林癌症中心 (MSKCC) 的住院患者流动. 该模型将住院患者的平均等待时间减少了30分钟,有助于医院容量管理.
科学领域:
- 医疗保健 运营 研究 研究 研究
- 生物医学信息学 生物医学信息学
- 医院管理系统 医院管理系统
背景情况:
- 住院患者流量和容量管理是医疗保健系统面临的关键挑战.
- 纪念斯隆凯特林癌症中心 (MSKCC) 试图优化患者流动和资源配置.
- 复杂的患者路径和多样化的护理需求需要复杂的分析工具.
研究的目的:
- 开发和应用一个离散事件模拟模型用于MSKCC的住院患者流量和容量管理.
- 评估特定资源分配策略对患者等待时间和病床利用率的影响.
- 为医院领导提供决策支持工具,以测试运营变化.
主要方法:
- 开发了一个离散事件模拟模型,捕捉患者流动模式,入院变异,专业护理需求和资源限制.
- 用概率分布来建模持续时间,并纳入关键患者和资源属性.
- 使用一组全面的输出指标验证了模型,并将资源整合场景与基线进行了比较.
主要成果:
- 模拟显示,在四个服务中,估计住院患者平均等待时间减少了30分钟以上.
- 这意味着等待时间每年减少约116天.
- 实施的变化对其他关键绩效指标 (如床位利用率) 有中性的影响.
结论:
- 开发的模拟模型可以作为一个有价值的决策支持工具,用于评估住院患者的战略和战术变化.
- 它提供了一个结构化的分析方法,可以在实际实施之前优化医院运营和资源配置.
- 该模型的灵活性允许测试各种场景,增强医院领导层有效管理容量的能力.
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