探索环境菲利普斯曲线:全球化,经济增长和机构质量如何影响高度全球化的欧洲国家的负载能力因素?
Mohammad Mafizur Rahman1, Seyit Ali Mi̇çooğulları2, Süleyman Deği̇rmen3
1University of Southern Queensland, School of Business, Toowoomba, Australia.
Journal of environmental management
|June 28, 2025
概括
较高的失业率改善了全球化欧洲国家的环境质量,支持了环境菲利普斯曲线 (EPC) 假设. 这表明经济放缓可以减少环境压力,特别是有强大的机构.
科学领域:
- 环境经济学环境经济学
- 可持续性科学 可持续性科学
- 欧洲经济研究 欧洲经济研究
背景情况:
- 环境菲利普斯曲线 (EPC) 假设在失业率和环境退化之间存在反向关系.
- 全球化和机构质量越来越被认为是影响环境可持续性的关键因素.
- 了解这些动态对于在欧洲平衡经济发展与生态保护至关重要.
研究的目的:
- 在10个最全球化的欧洲国家实证测试环境菲利普斯曲线 (EPC) 假设.
- 分析失业率 (UR),经济增长 (GDP),能源消费 (PEC),制度质量 (INQ) 和全球化 (KOF) 对环境可持续性的影响 (LCF).
- 调查机构质量对失业率和环境质量之间的关系的调节作用.
主要方法:
- 使用了现代经济计量技术,特别是STIRPAT模型和CS-ARDL.
- 对10个全球化程度最高的欧洲国家,分析了1996年至2022年的数据.
- 纳入一个交互术语 (UR*INQ) 来评估机构质量的调节效应.
主要成果:
- 结果强烈支持EPC假设:较高的失业率与改善的环境质量 (LCF) 有积极的相关性.
- 经济增长 (GDP) 从长远来看会对环境质量 (LCF) 产生负面影响,而能源消耗 (PEC) 则会降低环境质量.
- 机构质量 (INQ) 和全球化 (KOF) 对环境可持续性做出了积极贡献,INQ调节了UR-LCF联系.
结论:
- 该研究在高度全球化的欧洲经济中验证了EPC假设,强调了就业和环境质量之间的权衡.
- 强大的制度质量是提高环境可持续性和缓解经济活动负面影响的关键.
- 综合战略对于在全球化的欧洲国家实现经济和环境目标至关重要.
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