一项横截面研究揭示了截至2060年骨关节炎的全球影响和未来预测
Xuefeng Luo1,2, Xiangru Shen1,2, Runxing Kang1,2
1Department of Orthopaedic Surgery, The First Affiliated Hospital of Chongqing Medical University, Chongqing, China.
European journal of public health
|June 28, 2025
概括
全球骨关节炎病例正在上升,到2021年将影响6.7亿人,预计到2060年将达到7.65亿人. 较高的体重指数和经济发展与骨关节炎负担的增加相关.
科学领域:
- 流行病学 流行病学
- 公共卫生 公共卫生
- 老年学是一门学科.
背景情况:
- 骨关节炎 (OA) 是一种主要的全球性退行性疾病,影响身体功能和生活质量.
- 人口老龄化预计将增加OA的流行病负担,需要进行趋势分析以改进策略.
- 了解OA趋势对于公共卫生政策和资源分配至关重要.
研究的目的:
- 从1990年到2021年分析骨关节炎发病率,患病率和残疾调整寿命年的全球,区域和国家趋势.
- 预测未来的趋势,并确定与骨关节炎相关的关键风险因素.
- 为公共卫生干预和疾病控制工作提供信息.
主要方法:
- 利用了来自2021年全球疾病负担数据库的数据.
- 在1990年至2021年期间对骨关节炎趋势进行了系统分析.
- 研究了全球,区域和国家数据,将负担与社会发展指数和体重指数相关联.
主要成果:
- 骨关节炎在2021年影响了6.7亿人,预计到2060年将达到7.65亿人.
- 社会发展指数和骨关节炎负担之间存在正相关性.
- 在东亚观察到更高的发病率和流行率,在所有年龄组中,女性总是比男性受影响更多. 高体重指数是主要的危险因素.
结论:
- 骨关节炎是一个巨大的,不断增长的全球健康挑战,持续上升趋势.
- 经济发展的增加与骨关节炎的负担更高相关.
- 针对性干预侧重于可修改的风险因素,如高体重指数,对于管理日益增长的骨关节炎患病率至关重要.
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